August 29, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Souper River | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lord of Legends | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Stormy Soul | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Speed Way | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Galvaston | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dancing Dragon | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jocularity | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Knopfler | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Liquid Louie | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Tallestofthetall | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Souper Cohiba | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Big Time Gizmo | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Sundance Hit | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Final Strike | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Majestic Melody | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Be Like Clint | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Luckman | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Morning Thoughts | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Dancin in Da’nile | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stealth Mission | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rapper Zapper | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Hayroll | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Grafton Street | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Algoma S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Lorena | 0.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dance With Destiny | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jilli Marie | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Owen’s Tour Guide | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pemberley | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fourteen Days | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Raven Echo | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ms Wicked | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Ginger | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Diamond City | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Souper Legacy | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bill Needle | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Daniel Sun | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Ready for the Lady | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Point to the Stars | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stronger Together | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Thrill of the Day | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Elgin S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mason’s Gamble | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Secret Reserve | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dragon’s Brew | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kosmonavt | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jelgo | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Funiculi | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Perfect Crime | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Collective Force | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Hiatus | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Maritime Mission | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Beau Guest | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Opus North | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Runninforcover | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Free Shipping | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Enchant Me | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lil Bit Gangsta | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Muskoka S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Forest B | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Baksheesh | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Swinging Mandy | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Dazzling Diva | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Exit Stage Right | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Thatsitthatsall | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fun Cool | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Proud Speaker | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gormley Girl | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Allpaidup | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Grande Bella | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Oneofthemgirls | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 6 | Last American Exit | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Priceless Will | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | There’s No Joe | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Goldmine Cat | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sunspear | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Whiskey Victor | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tricky Magician | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Four Aces High | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Combative | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Nashtrick | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Simcoe S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Chairman Bob | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Super Headline | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Summer Sunset | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ironstone | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wicked Crazy | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Where’s Neal | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Midnight Arkle | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ethnic Soul | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Timmins | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Section Ten | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ultimate Answer | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Another | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Gorgeous Kitten | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Courtly Manner | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Forester’s Destiny | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Letthebighossroll | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Victor’s Destiny | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Heydon’s Case | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Perlarana | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Am Prepared | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Bold Animaux | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.