Sports from the Basement

Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, August 29, 2021

August 29, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Souper River 2.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Lord of Legends 3.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Stormy Soul 6.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Speed Way 10.00 4 8-1
1 1 Galvaston 3.50 4.1 8-1
6 6 Dancing Dragon 12.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Jocularity 8.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Knopfler 3.00 2.4 4-1
7 5 Liquid Louie 8.00 2.6 5-1
5 3 Tallestofthetall 2.50 3.5 7-1
8 6 Souper Cohiba 4.50 3.8 7-1
2 1 Big Time Gizmo 10.00 4.2 8-1
6 4 Sundance Hit 12.00 5 9-1
1 1 Final Strike 3.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Majestic Melody 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Be Like Clint 2.50 1.4 3-1
3 3 Luckman 3.00 1.5 3-1
5 4 Morning Thoughts 8.00 2.6 5-1
6 5 Dancin in Da’nile 6.00 3 6-1
2 2 Stealth Mission 10.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Rapper Zapper 12.00 4.9 9-1
7 6 Hayroll 15.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Grafton Street 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Algoma S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Lorena 0.80 2.6 5-1
9 9 Dance With Destiny 10.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Jilli Marie 3.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Owen’s Tour Guide 8.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Pemberley 15.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Fourteen Days 15.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Raven Echo 20.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Ms Wicked 20.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Big Ginger 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Diamond City 2.00 1.2 2-1
6 4 Souper Legacy 3.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Bill Needle 6.00 2.7 5-1
7 5 Daniel Sun 8.00 2.9 6-1
8 6 Ready for the Lady 10.00 4.6 9-1
5 3 Point to the Stars 15.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Stronger Together 4.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Thrill of the Day 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Elgin S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Mason’s Gamble 2.50 1.3 2-1
1 1 Secret Reserve 2.00 2.4 5-1
7 7 Dragon’s Brew 4.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Kosmonavt 8.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Jelgo 6.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Funiculi 12.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Perfect Crime 8.00 4.1 8-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Collective Force 2.00 2.4 5-1
6 5 Hiatus 3.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Maritime Mission 6.00 2.7 5-1
9 8 Beau Guest 10.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Opus North 4.00 3 6-1
3 3 Runninforcover 8.00 3.7 7-1
8 7 Free Shipping 20.00 5.4 10-1
7 6 Enchant Me 20.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Lil Bit Gangsta 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Muskoka S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Forest B 2.50 1.7 3-1
3 3 Baksheesh 4.00 2.2 4-1
10 10 Swinging Mandy 8.00 3.4 6-1
11 11 Dazzling Diva 10.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Exit Stage Right 8.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Thatsitthatsall 6.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Fun Cool 10.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Proud Speaker 12.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 Gormley Girl 20.00 6.8 13-1
12 12 Allpaidup 20.00 6.9 13-1
7 7 Grande Bella 20.00 7.9 15-1
8 8 Oneofthemgirls 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 6 Last American Exit 2.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Priceless Will 6.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 There’s No Joe 3.50 3.4 6-1
9 5 Goldmine Cat 10.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Sunspear 20.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Whiskey Victor 20.00 7 13-1
5 5 Tricky Magician 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Four Aces High 3.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Combative 2.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Nashtrick 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Simcoe S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Chairman Bob 3.00 1.2 2-1
11 11 Super Headline 8.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Summer Sunset 3.50 2.9 5-1
3 3 Ironstone 4.50 2.9 5-1
2 2 Wicked Crazy 6.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Where’s Neal 10.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Midnight Arkle 12.00 5.1 10-1
10 10 Ethnic Soul 15.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Timmins 20.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Section Ten 20.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Ultimate Answer 20.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Another 2.50 1.8 3-1
7 5 Gorgeous Kitten 3.50 3.5 7-1
10 7 Courtly Manner 4.00 3.5 7-1
4 3 Forester’s Destiny 6.00 4.9 9-1
9 6 Letthebighossroll 20.00 5.2 10-1
2 1 Victor’s Destiny 12.00 5.8 11-1
6 4 Heydon’s Case 20.00 7.6 14-1
1 1 Perlarana 10.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Am Prepared 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Bold Animaux 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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