August 28, 2021 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Keepyourguardup | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Colour Guard | 1.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vegas Life | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dr Harlan | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Loverboy Lou | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Instigated | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Nautical Gem | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Morissette | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mambo Dancer | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Blue Sky Venezuela | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | La Purissima | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Baby Ice | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tapit’s Girl | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Beautiful Grace | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Wrapper Rule | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Shyla Girl | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Baby Cloud | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Verbien O. P. | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Bound for Broadway | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Crystalology | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 7 | True Dakotan | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Terp Town | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Menelao | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Five Star Phil | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tinas Shining Star | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Sweet Dreams Babe | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Maybe It’s Time | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Scorestosettle | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | No Mercy Percy | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mucha Mezquina | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sailingintothewind | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Sami D | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dancer’s Melody | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Scatrattleandroll | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Purrageous Dyna | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | All Good Times | 1.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Valiant Gabe | 1.80 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Captured Dreams | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Buttoned Up | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tripulante | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pistol Or Shotgun | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Witty | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 6 | Sprite’s Lady | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Joanie’s Sunset | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 7 | Artie’s Rose | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Glossamer | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Razzledazzlem | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Better With Age | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Goodbye Carolina | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Talks in Her Sleep | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Downtown Katie | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Rooney | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Bears Breeches | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Yira | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Cold Hearted Cat | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 4 | Ocean Delight | 30.00 | 13.2 | 25-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Purrs Well | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wicked Dude | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jack Luvs Nova | 1.80 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Freud Wind | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Violet’s Brother | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Metrallazo | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Tomorrows Heaven | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.