August 28, 2021 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Pachi | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rahfee Town | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Grand Hideaway | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Renegade Bob | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Crankshaft | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Morriston | 1.40 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Star On the Map | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Birdman Richie | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Meataball | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vitale | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Erudite | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Achilles | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Life Is Grand | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Layton the Day | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Easter Music | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dumbmark | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mongol Bull | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | W W Kan Do | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ripe Attack | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Greeleys Ice | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Boom Box | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Stormy Empire | 12.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Straight Up Smarty | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | First Squadron | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Juju’s Specialgirl | 1.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Showit | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hey Hey | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nice and True | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Maximus Image | 15.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Timingiseverything | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Oncewewerebrothers | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fort Ridge | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tale of the Nile | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Splash for Gold | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Strate Remark | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Offlee Fun | 3.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lake Mills | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Oncoming Train | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | City Drifter | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kosher Cowboy | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kennesaw | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Etched in Stone | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Well Told | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Name Rejected | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | One Putt Richie | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Arlington-washington Futurity
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Peerless Court | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | One Timer | 0.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Baladi | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Nobals | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Land Remembered | 10.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Suburban Court | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Royal Court | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Magician Stone | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Driven One | 30.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Red Label | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Arlington-washington Lassie S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Summer Belle | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Purr Sea | 1.60 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Plus Chic | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Upside Down | 12.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Queens Up | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shez Reckless | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Princedreamcess | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wonderstruck | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Tone It Up | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chacalosa | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Way of Life | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.