Sports from the Basement

Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Friday, August 27, 2021

August 27, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Jungle Goddess 2.50 2.7 5-1
3 3 Leave It With Me 6.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Touch of Rouge 10.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Elite Song 8.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Bring Da Fudge 3.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Silent Dixie 2.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 I Am I Said 20.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Ya Mar 3.50 3.4 6-1
6 6 T’pring 8.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Verdejo 6.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 We’ve Had Enough 4.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Surfeit 10.00 4.4 8-1
10 10 Dreams and Schemes 8.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 Jimmy Is a Breeze 3.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 Keep It Neat 12.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Sassy Martini 20.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Sneaky Rebel 20.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Hidden Juskiddin 4.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Keen Samurai 2.50 2.7 5-1
5 5 Tall Water 3.00 3 6-1
6 6 Chasing Vinny 6.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Valuable Pillow 8.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Spanish Major 10.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Pugin 12.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Dark Ale 20.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 White Wedding 20.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Post to Post 3.00 2.4 4-1
2 2 Divine Martha 8.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Anita Grigio 4.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Make No Mistake 2.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Halfinthewrapper 6.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Fashion Flirt 8.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Pluie d’Avril 15.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Flawless Pink 20.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Hurricane Dancer 2.00 1.4 3-1
9 9 Hitters Park 1.60 2.1 4-1
8 8 Western Trouble 6.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Now We Are Nine 10.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Spanish Express 8.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Mia’s Extortionist 20.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Pink Lemonade 12.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Weisser 30.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Thor’s Thunder 30.00 6.6 13-1
7 7 Our Zuma 30.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Fielder 3.00 2.2 4-1
9 9 Marten River 2.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Corduroy Road 4.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 O’Kratos 10.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Reconfigure 6.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Embolden 8.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Silent Flash 12.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Rocket Plan 20.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Told It All 20.00 6.7 13-1
10 10 Striking Moon 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Breathlessnthesand 3.50 1.6 3-1
4 4 Secret Path 2.50 1.7 3-1
5 5 Quantum Velocity 3.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Sweepin Hard 6.00 3 6-1
2 2 Daddyplaystheblues 8.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Polydeuces 10.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Conquer Him 15.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Sharp’s River 15.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 The Newfie Express 20.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Viature 2.50 2 4-1
1 1 Strike a Beat 3.00 2 4-1
9 9 Siakam 6.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Four Bounce 4.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Pride and Passion 8.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Jmr Pure Sensation 10.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Doc Fishman 20.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Mr. Magical 20.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Sun Forester 20.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Social Justice 20.00 6.9 13-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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