Sports from the Basement

Saratoga Horse Racing Picks for Friday, August 27, 2021

August 27, 2021 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 8 Open Til Midnight 3.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Devil Or Angel 4.50 2.3 4-1
4 4 Surprise Boss 2.50 2.8 5-1
5 5 Sandrone 6.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Blue Deja Vu 10.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Red Rock Bay 15.00 5.6 11-1
9 7 Stop the Spread 30.00 9.1 17-1
7 7 Hezastonecoldfox 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Miracle Nicky 6.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Something Majestic 8.00 SCRATCH
12A 12 Bemo 30.00 SCRATCH
2A 2 India Tiger 30.00 12.6 24-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Stakes) – Seeking The Ante S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 November Rein 2.00 1.8 3-1
2 1 Laoban’s Legacy 2.50 1.8 3-1
6 4 Velvet Sister 4.50 2.1 4-1
4 3 Succulent 30.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Miss Alacrity 1.40 SCRATCH
5 5 Hideout 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Barrage 2.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Yarrow 3.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Umbria 6.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Hit the Nail 10.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Sandro the Great 4.50 3.2 6-1
9 9 King Moonracer 10.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Mr. Connecticut 10.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Big Castle 15.00 4 8-1
8 8 Bay Defense 30.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Funny Cide S. Presented By Rood And Riddle Equine Hospital

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Montebello 3.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 Run Curtis Run 3.50 1.7 3-1
8 8 Daufuskie Island 4.50 2.8 5-1
2 2 Happy Happy B 6.00 4 7-1
6 6 Bourbon’s Hope 6.00 4 8-1
1 1 Senbei 6.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Shipsational 8.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Who Hoo Thats Me 10.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Sinfully Sweet 3.50 1.3 3-1
3 2 No Payne 3.00 2.1 4-1
5 4 Baudi Moovan 6.00 2.3 4-1
7 6 Caumsett 2.50 2.5 5-1
4 3 Exact Change 12.00 3.6 7-1
6 5 Escapewithfriends 8.00 3.9 7-1
12 9 Mill Stone Creek 12.00 4.3 8-1
10 8 Road to Remember 15.00 4.6 9-1
9 7 Catchulady 30.00 6.6 12-1
1 1 Cinderella’s Cause 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Madame Rose 50.00 SCRATCH
11 11 I’m Perfect Too 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 5 I’m Fine 3.50 2 4-1
6 4 Ok Honey 5.00 2.9 5-1
8 6 Bustin Bay 5.00 3.4 6-1
4 2 Vallarand 8.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Lot of Honey 8.00 6.2 12-1
5 3 My Girl Annie 12.00 8.8 17-1
10 8 Fair Lassie 12.00 9.1 17-1
9A 7 Chasing Cara 10.00 9.2 17-1
2A 2 Caramocha 10.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Jamaica Joy 4.50 SCRATCH
11 9 Mosienko 12.00 10.7 20-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Fleet Indian S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 7 Make Mischief 1.60 2.7 5-1
5 3 A Bit o’Irish Sass 6.00 3.5 7-1
2 1 Pay Grade 6.00 3.6 7-1
8 6 Coffee Bar 5.00 3.7 7-1
6 4 U Guys Are No Fun 12.00 5 9-1
3 2 Byhubbyhellomoney 15.00 7.1 13-1
7 5 Epona’s Dream 20.00 7.6 14-1
1 1 Betsy Blue 4.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Out First 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – West Point S. Presented By Trustco Bank

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 City Man 4.50 2.5 5-1
8 7 Mo Ready 6.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Rinaldi 1.40 2.9 5-1
1 1 Therapist 4.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Graded On a Curve 6.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Microsecond 10.00 3.6 7-1
6 5 Sanctuary City 12.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Lord Flintshire 50.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Albany S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Bobby Bo 2.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Americanrevolution 1.80 1.4 3-1
6 5 Anejo 6.00 3 6-1
4 3 Bingo John 8.00 4.3 8-1
8 7 Our Man Mike 12.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 It’s a Gamble 12.00 5.7 11-1
7 6 Joey Loose Lips 12.00 6.5 12-1
9 8 It’s Gravy 15.00 7 13-1
3 3 Purple Hearted 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Yaddo H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Dancing Kiki 6.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Classic Lady 3.50 3 6-1
3 3 Myhartblongstodady 1.60 3.1 6-1
4 4 Giacosa 8.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Chocolate Cookie 6.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Pecatonica 12.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Kreesie 15.00 5.2 10-1
10 10 Kilkea 15.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Mike’s Girl 30.00 7.2 14-1
1 1 Dancingwthdaffodls 30.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 War Novel 8.00 2.3 4-1
12 11 Brennan’s War 6.00 2.7 5-1
8 7 Fast Gordon 3.50 3 6-1
1 1 Eight Weeks Long 8.00 3.3 6-1
9 8 High Tone 6.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Lay On Macduff 15.00 4.2 8-1
11 10 Pivotal Run 12.00 5.5 10-1
6 5 Mr. Wattx 20.00 5.6 11-1
13 12 Chase the Cat 30.00 8.3 16-1
3 3 Wicked Karma 30.00 8.4 16-1
5 5 Tackle 2.50 SCRATCH
14 14 Cox’s Ledge 15.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Ghostmon 5.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Crossing Verazanno 5.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Sugar Plum King 50.00 11.9 22-1
10 9 Reunion Tour 50.00 13.2 25-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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Scoreboard
3rd - 8:30
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Final
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Final
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4th - 5:50
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4th - 3:31
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4th - 4:51
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3rd - 2:16
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3rd - 4:34
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2nd - 0:00
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