August 27, 2021 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 8 | Open Til Midnight | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Devil Or Angel | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Surprise Boss | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sandrone | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blue Deja Vu | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Red Rock Bay | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Stop the Spread | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hezastonecoldfox | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Miracle Nicky | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Something Majestic | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12A | 12 | Bemo | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2A | 2 | India Tiger | 30.00 | 12.6 | 24-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Stakes) – Seeking The Ante S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | November Rein | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Laoban’s Legacy | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Velvet Sister | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Succulent | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Alacrity | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Hideout | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Barrage | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Yarrow | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Umbria | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hit the Nail | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sandro the Great | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | King Moonracer | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Connecticut | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Castle | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bay Defense | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Funny Cide S. Presented By Rood And Riddle Equine Hospital
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Montebello | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Run Curtis Run | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Daufuskie Island | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Happy Happy B | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bourbon’s Hope | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Senbei | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shipsational | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Who Hoo Thats Me | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Sinfully Sweet | 3.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | No Payne | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Baudi Moovan | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Caumsett | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Exact Change | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Escapewithfriends | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Mill Stone Creek | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Road to Remember | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Catchulady | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cinderella’s Cause | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Madame Rose | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | I’m Perfect Too | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | I’m Fine | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Ok Honey | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Bustin Bay | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Vallarand | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lot of Honey | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | My Girl Annie | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Fair Lassie | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 9A | 7 | Chasing Cara | 10.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 2A | 2 | Caramocha | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Jamaica Joy | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 9 | Mosienko | 12.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Fleet Indian S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 7 | Make Mischief | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | A Bit o’Irish Sass | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Pay Grade | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Coffee Bar | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | U Guys Are No Fun | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Byhubbyhellomoney | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Epona’s Dream | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Betsy Blue | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Out First | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – West Point S. Presented By Trustco Bank
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | City Man | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mo Ready | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rinaldi | 1.40 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Therapist | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Graded On a Curve | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Microsecond | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sanctuary City | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lord Flintshire | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Albany S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Bobby Bo | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Americanrevolution | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Anejo | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bingo John | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Our Man Mike | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | It’s a Gamble | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Joey Loose Lips | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | It’s Gravy | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Purple Hearted | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Yaddo H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Dancing Kiki | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Classic Lady | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Myhartblongstodady | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Giacosa | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chocolate Cookie | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pecatonica | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kreesie | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Kilkea | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mike’s Girl | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dancingwthdaffodls | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | War Novel | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Brennan’s War | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Fast Gordon | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Eight Weeks Long | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | High Tone | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lay On Macduff | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Pivotal Run | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mr. Wattx | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Chase the Cat | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wicked Karma | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tackle | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Cox’s Ledge | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Ghostmon | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Crossing Verazanno | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Sugar Plum King | 50.00 | 11.9 | 22-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Reunion Tour | 50.00 | 13.2 | 25-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.