Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, August 27, 2021

August 27, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Mollies Hope 4.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Capetown Candy 6.00 2.9 6-1
5 5 Dolce Aprile 2.50 3 6-1
10 10 Vladislava 5.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Tea’s Dream 8.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Yes I’m Spiteful 6.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Alright Already 10.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Straight to Go 12.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Unbridled Chrome 30.00 6.9 13-1
9 9 Rachel Dream 30.00 8.6 16-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Linguist 5.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Dr. Roger 2.50 2.4 4-1
4 4 Geoscience 2.00 2.4 4-1
1 1 Tutankhamunatcha 4.50 4.1 8-1
3 3 Compass Cay 10.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Super Q 15.00 5 9-1
5 5 Super Triple 20.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Ali Owns the Fight 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Grace’s Drama 2.50 2.1 4-1
5 4 Domineer 6.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Jost Sayin 5.00 2.6 5-1
6 5 Special Counsel 8.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Distinctly Blue 8.00 3.9 7-1
7 6 Levy Land 12.00 4.1 8-1
8 7 Sheza Handfull 30.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Dana Grace 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Sea Song 3.50 2.1 4-1
8 6 Breehazel 6.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 La Urbana 3.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Romantic Tale 5.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 My Little Nany 10.00 3.8 7-1
5 4 Magna Colors 30.00 6.6 12-1
4 4 R Real Dream 6.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Settler 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Creative Choice 3.00 1.8 3-1
7 6 Captain 4.00 2 4-1
3 3 Mystery Mo 2.50 2.2 4-1
8 7 Proud Contender 5.00 2.8 5-1
9 8 Mutakaamil 6.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Lucky Man 15.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Menelik 15.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 A P Rock 30.00 7.4 14-1
6 6 Abhar 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 R Man Joe 2.50 2.4 4-1
7 6 Allegedly Perfect 3.50 2.4 5-1
8 7 Diligent 4.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 Cuy 5.00 2.9 6-1
5 4 Todaystheday 6.00 3.9 7-1
4 3 Gunman 8.00 4.5 8-1
9 8 Amor Lejano (ARG) 15.00 6.4 12-1
3 2 Break Beat 12.00 7 13-1
2 2 Free Flay 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Include the Beast 0.80 2.7 5-1
6 6 Ms Big Spring 6.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 K’s Running Free 4.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Miz Chaplin 10.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Takestwotowiggle 12.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Katniss Kan 12.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Drill’s Valentine 15.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Blessed Beast 20.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Freedom Matters 3.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Vow Me Now 2.50 2.6 5-1
5 5 Light Fury 4.50 3 6-1
8 8 Kroy 5.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Gemonteer 8.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Sassy But Smart 8.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Cuestion de Tiempo 12.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Sovereign Warrior 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Boldness 4.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Picking Up Pennies 3.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Paladio 3.50 2.8 5-1
5 5 Absolute Grit 4.50 3.1 6-1
6 6 Joshy Jak 5.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Famous Gent 8.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Oh Steve 8.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Defendant 4.50 1.7 3-1
7 7 Driving Wind 3.50 2.1 4-1
2 2 Cidstayinurlaine 3.00 2.2 4-1
8 8 Julie Bird (IRE) 5.00 2.6 5-1
9 9 Senorita Salsa 6.00 3 6-1
4 4 Kizzy 12.00 4 8-1
6 6 Commander Grace 15.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Sundance Peak 30.00 7.4 14-1
1 1 Syllabus 30.00 7.9 15-1
10 10 Fabiola Princess 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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Scoreboard
3rd - 5:16
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3rd - 5:25
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3rd - 0:00
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3rd - 9:31
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3rd - 6:06
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3rd - 1:30
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3rd - 3:12
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3rd - 0:52
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3rd - 0:00
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3rd - 8:14
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