August 27, 2021 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Zabava | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Runway Dreamer | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | So Much Happy | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Flawless (FR) | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kuora (PER) | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Too Much Heaven | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Loud Loud Music | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lavender (IRE) | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | American Bourbon | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Morning Addiction | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mama Superior | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Flat Out Joy | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Northern Gem | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Illapawnie | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Red Nova | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flatterwithjewels | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Studly Perfection | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | T Bones Trick | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Conquest Cobra | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | House Limit | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Jan’s Reserve | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Press Briefing | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Kenzou’s Rhythm | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fast as Cass | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Itsthattime | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Flying Drummer | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Oviatt Class | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Derecho Dandy | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Carbonite | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Clampett | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Astronomer | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Barossa | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bright Leaf | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Charter Oak | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Steak and Cheese | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Avigale (IRE) | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Good Bye Putin | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jack Sprout | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | My Indy | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Constant Conflict | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hammering Lemon | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Meadway | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Silent Musketier | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Tranquility Lake S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Miss Bigly | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Paige Anne | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Harper’s Gallop | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | First Star | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Stormy D | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Nasty | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Aurelian Man | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Secret Weapon | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Go On | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Eagle Chief | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gregory’s Pride | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mariners Way | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tiz the Tale | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sai Con (FR) | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Encroachment | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Solo Animo | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Safe Combination | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dreamed It | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Money Back | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Proud Veteran | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Doncic | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sirocco | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Borkan | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Me Macho | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pick Your Bid | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sir Flatter | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.