Sports from the Basement

Saratoga Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, August 26, 2021

August 26, 2021 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Let Her Inspire U 1.20 1.2 2-1
2 2 Twist Just Right 2.50 1.6 3-1
4 4 Regal Rebel 4.00 2 4-1
3 3 Moam 5.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Miss Pab 8.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Jannie Mae 15.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Clear Vision 8.00 3.6 7-1
7 6 Outrageous Bet 10.00 3.6 7-1
10 9 Smile Bryan 6.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Spirit Animal 1.80 4.8 9-1
11 10 Counter Offer 15.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Bourbon in May 3.50 4.9 9-1
12 11 Bird’s Eye View 15.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Boru 15.00 6 11-1
8 7 Mandate 15.00 6 11-1
9 8 Castagno 20.00 7.4 14-1
3 3 Noble Thought 20.00 8.2 16-1
6 6 Kid Chocolate 50.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Legit 4.50 SCRATCH
14 14 Roaming Union 2.50 SCRATCH
15 15 First Line 1.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Orchestration 1.80 1.4 3-1
1 1 Cambi Lion 2.50 1.8 3-1
8 7 Win Worthy 6.00 3.1 6-1
7 6 High Deff (FR) 4.50 3.3 6-1
2 2 Royne 8.00 3.9 7-1
5 4 Gold Bear 10.00 4.1 8-1
6 5 Jimmy Dan 15.00 6.2 12-1
9 8 Prayer Book 20.00 7.2 14-1
3 3 Reunion Tour 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Quality Stones 2.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Cathy Naz 6.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Frills 2.50 2.6 5-1
3 3 Miss Liana 1.80 2.7 5-1
5 5 Jessica 10.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Mebs Web 30.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Love Me Tomorrow 30.00 6.1 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Rattle N Roll 2.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Dumi Knife 5.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Imminent Storm 6.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Keepcalmcarryon 2.50 2.6 5-1
2 2 Luni Sima 8.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Dowagiac Chief 8.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Commander Compton 12.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Unbridled Bomber 20.00 6.1 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Halo of Fire 2.50 1.3 2-1
9 7 Shared Future 5.00 2 4-1
7 6 The Club 6.00 2.2 4-1
2 1 Jazz Time Girl 8.00 2.3 4-1
12 9 Top Gun Girl 8.00 2.4 5-1
4 3 Lady Scarlet 3.00 3 6-1
10 8 Mischievous Kiss 12.00 3.7 7-1
6 5 Babyitsgoldoutside 20.00 5.1 10-1
3 2 Super Sting 20.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Martini Twist 50.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Our Souper Love 6.00 SCRATCH
11 11 The Elle Train (IRE) 6.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Mommasgottarun 3.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Run for the Hills 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Current 3.50 2.6 5-1
4 3 Life On Top 6.00 2.6 5-1
12 11 Reckless Spirit 8.00 2.7 5-1
11 10 High Tide 8.00 2.9 6-1
9 8 Montauk Summer 4.50 3.3 6-1
7 6 Order for Porky 8.00 3.3 6-1
5 4 Mr. Vincent 20.00 5.4 10-1
2 1 Moliere 10.00 6 11-1
10 9 Unleveraged 12.00 6.9 13-1
3 2 No Salt 30.00 8.9 17-1
1 1 Dante’s Fire 6.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Glory Road 3.50 SCRATCH
14 14 Ashaar 2.50 SCRATCH
15 15 Wartime Hero 5.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Obsessed 50.00 13 25-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Whispering Pines 3.00 1.7 3-1
7 6 Union Maiden 3.50 2.1 4-1
5 4 Movie Moxy 2.50 2.3 4-1
6 5 Sharp Starr 4.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Thoughtfully 8.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Emilia’s Moon 20.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Easy to Bless 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Riskaverse S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 9 Love and Money 4.50 1.5 3-1
2 2 Keeper of Time (IRE) 6.00 2 4-1
9 8 Amy C (GB) 6.00 2.3 4-1
7 6 Rastafara (IRE) 3.50 2.5 5-1
4 4 Third Draft 6.00 3 6-1
8 7 Hit the Woah 10.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Magisterium (IRE) 15.00 5.6 11-1
6 5 Designer Ready 12.00 6 11-1
3 3 Stand by You 30.00 9.5 18-1
5 5 Triple Digit 30.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Minaun (IRE) 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 9 Discretionary Marq 4.50 3.7 7-1
3 2 Fast Getaway 3.50 4.3 8-1
9 6 Mystery Messenger 6.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Xy Speed 6.00 5.3 10-1
8 5 Three Outlaws 10.00 5.9 11-1
10 7 Bourbon Mission 10.00 6.2 12-1
4 3 The Queens Jules 10.00 6.8 13-1
6 4 Encrypted (GB) 15.00 8 15-1
2 2 War Stroll 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 South Sea 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Oldies But Goodies 15.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Happy Farm 2.00 SCRATCH
11 8 Lookin for Loki 20.00 11.3 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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