Sports from the Basement

Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, August 26, 2021

August 26, 2021 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Censorship 1.80 1.6 3-1
7 7 Mitigation 2.50 1.8 3-1
6 6 Desert Dawn 3.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 I’m a Giraffe 5.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Haute Lady 8.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Talkative Gal 12.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Brimage 15.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Tiz Tact Toe 2.50 2.5 5-1
2 1 Moore Street Wise (IRE) 5.00 2.6 5-1
5 4 Circumvent 4.00 3.2 6-1
8 7 Prince Ziggy 8.00 4 7-1
7 6 American Great 10.00 5.8 11-1
4 3 Me B Bubba T 8.00 6 11-1
6 5 Fire Polish 12.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Rosenquist 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Bibleman 3.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Mr. Dougie Fresh 2.50 2.1 4-1
7 7 Awhitesportscoat 3.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Vander Kelen 5.00 3 6-1
4 4 Black Storm 5.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Platinum Equity 8.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Admirably 12.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Trebbiano 2.50 1.3 2-1
5 5 Anmer Hall 3.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Frost Alert 4.00 2 4-1
7 7 Con On the Run 4.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Law Abiding 5.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Town Boy 12.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Riviera Champ 15.00 7.6 14-1
8 8 Hydro Frost 15.00 8 15-1
9 9 Facetious 3.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Get Back Goldie 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Mob Boss 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Sumter 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Tribal War Chant 3.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Paint Me Lucky 3.50 SCRATCH
4 3 Catbernay 4.00 2.4 5-1
2 1 Half Right 6.00 2.9 6-1
3 2 Black Belt 6.00 3.2 6-1
8 7 Cumberland Avenue 6.00 3.6 7-1
6 5 Rayray 8.00 4.6 9-1
5 4 Starship Chewbacca 12.00 6.6 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Raymundos Secret 2.50 1.8 3-1
7 6 Bulletproof One 2.00 2.2 4-1
4 3 Hear My Prayer 4.00 2.9 5-1
6 5 Candura 6.00 3 6-1
1 1 Gypsy Spirit (GB) 8.00 3.8 7-1
3 2 Rakassah (IRE) 12.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 She’s So Special 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Wilder Than Most 6.00 2.5 5-1
9 9 Atomic Drop 3.50 2.8 5-1
4 4 Wilson Monk 2.50 3.7 7-1
5 5 Fly the Sky 4.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Touchdown Brown 12.00 6.6 12-1
1 1 Hapi Hapi 15.00 7.2 14-1
6 6 Club Cal 15.00 7.6 14-1
3 3 Pappy Boyington 10.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Betito 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Lady Emily 4.00 2 4-1
9 9 Chasingserendipity 2.50 3.3 6-1
3 3 Majestic Steps (IRE) 3.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Agreetodisagree 6.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 St Helena 8.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Mind Meld 5.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Del Mar Flash 15.00 7.8 15-1
8 8 Frisco Frills 20.00 9.2 17-1
1 1 Emma’s Dance 20.00 9.5 18-1
10 10 Magical Thought 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Basil Flavor 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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