August 26, 2021 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Kearny County | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chapel Barn | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Young Corbett | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pleasant Moon | 1.80 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Landofthepharaohs | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Call the Colonel | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bossy Snow Pea | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Neve de Lua | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ruler Daenerys | 30.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bells of Joy | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ah Leah | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Valerie Valeski | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Zip Attack Baby | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Aka Lioness | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Kosher Cowboy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Midnight Blue Note | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Richy | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Star of Kodiak | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Valiant Vinny | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Medal of Fact | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Here Comes Kyle | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Royal Commish | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Omar Attack | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Prince of Mayhem | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rule Follower | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | McRags | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | War Lance | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Town Agenda | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Baseball Politics | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Coco Bravado | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | One Flashy Girl | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Couger | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Locash | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Supreme Irene | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Isabis | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Alotmoreaction | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Twelve Red Roses | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Girls Count | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Princess Tine (FR) | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Khosea | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Glitterary | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stack Shack | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Magic Solution | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Emily Bug | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Zawadi | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Nofansinthestands | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Cowboys Dream | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Just the Facts | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Angelino | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Power Cry | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fleetway | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Allegiance | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | High On Sugar | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bourbon Tan | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | And Won | 2.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | I’m Corfu | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Two Bit Kid | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Arrival | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | You’re Killin Me | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Peruvian Boy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Wile E Peyote | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Summer Assault | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | What’s Up Dude | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.