Sports from the Basement

Arlington Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, August 26, 2021

August 26, 2021 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Kearny County 2.50 2 4-1
5 5 Chapel Barn 3.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Young Corbett 12.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Pleasant Moon 1.80 3.4 6-1
3 3 Landofthepharaohs 10.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Call the Colonel 6.00 3.9 7-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Bossy Snow Pea 4.50 1.3 2-1
8 8 Neve de Lua 4.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Ruler Daenerys 30.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Bells of Joy 2.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Ah Leah 6.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Valerie Valeski 20.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Zip Attack Baby 12.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Aka Lioness 3.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Kosher Cowboy 15.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Midnight Blue Note 3.50 3.8 7-1
2 2 Richy 12.00 3.9 7-1
8 7 Star of Kodiak 4.00 4.1 8-1
7 6 Valiant Vinny 3.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Medal of Fact 10.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Here Comes Kyle 15.00 5.9 11-1
9 8 Royal Commish 6.00 6.5 12-1
6 5 Omar Attack 5.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Prince of Mayhem 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Rule Follower 2.50 1.2 2-1
2 2 McRags 4.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 War Lance 15.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Town Agenda 6.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Baseball Politics 3.50 3.5 7-1
5 5 Coco Bravado 10.00 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 One Flashy Girl 8.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Couger 3.50 2.8 5-1
6 6 Locash 4.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Supreme Irene 8.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Isabis 15.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Alotmoreaction 2.50 4.4 8-1
8 8 Twelve Red Roses 5.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Girls Count 10.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Princess Tine (FR) 4.50 1.5 3-1
2 2 Khosea 6.00 1.9 4-1
7 6 Glitterary 3.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Stack Shack 3.50 3.2 6-1
1 1 Magic Solution 5.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Emily Bug 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Zawadi 10.00 4.8 9-1
8 7 Nofansinthestands 10.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Cowboys Dream 10.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Just the Facts 8.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Angelino 3.00 3.1 6-1
9 8 Power Cry 20.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Fleetway 6.00 4.4 8-1
4 3 Allegiance 15.00 4.8 9-1
7 6 High On Sugar 12.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Bourbon Tan 4.00 5.2 10-1
5 4 And Won 2.50 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 I’m Corfu 1.80 SCRATCH
6 4 Two Bit Kid 15.00 3 6-1
8 6 Arrival 20.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 You’re Killin Me 8.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Peruvian Boy 10.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Wile E Peyote 6.00 4.1 8-1
5 3 Summer Assault 4.00 4.2 8-1
7 5 What’s Up Dude 3.00 4.4 8-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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