Sports from the Basement

Saratoga Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, August 25, 2021

August 25, 2021 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Uncle Skeets 3.00 1.5 3-1
5 3 No Burn 2.50 1.7 3-1
2 2 Point of Humor 6.00 2.6 5-1
7 5 Call Home 20.00 4.8 9-1
8 6 Napoleon Complex 30.00 6.1 11-1
6 4 Value Chain 30.00 6.1 12-1
3 3 Rudy Rod 1.40 SCRATCH
4 4 Run White Rabbit 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Forest Spirit 1.80 1.6 3-1
3 3 Quick Return 2.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Extreme Force 4.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Tallaj 6.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Casalsa 6.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 U. S. Steel 10.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Hungry Kitten 3.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Pocket Square (GB) 0.40 2.3 4-1
4 3 Key Biscayne 6.00 3.1 6-1
6 5 Hogans Holiday 10.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Bramble Bay 12.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Singita Dreams 0.40 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Saratoga Beauty 5.00 1.9 4-1
8 8 Awesome Indra 3.50 1.9 4-1
3 3 Invaluable 2.50 2 4-1
1 1 Flat Awesome Jenny 6.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Shasta Star 5.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Timely Tradition 6.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Luann 8.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Lady by Choice 20.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Digital Future 1.20 1.4 3-1
8 7 Cool Quest 4.50 1.8 3-1
5 5 Kawhi Me a River 4.00 1.9 4-1
9 8 First Law 3.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Partner’s Hope 8.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 On the Dean’s List 30.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Beckenbauer 30.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Canyouhearmenow 50.00 7 13-1
7 7 Sir William 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Whatlovelookslike 4.00 1.5 3-1
8 7 Waterville 3.00 1.7 3-1
6 5 Oak Loves a Fight 4.50 2.1 4-1
4 4 False Hope 6.00 2.6 5-1
9 8 Princessinparadise 8.00 2.9 6-1
7 6 Preposterous 10.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Sweet Sugar Baby 10.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Solib 20.00 6.6 12-1
10 9 Saratoga Chrome 20.00 6.8 13-1
11 10 Rcaptivating 30.00 9.9 19-1
5 5 Cupere 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Rigby 4.50 SCRATCH
13 13 Arisaema 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Gandy Dancing 4.50 1.9 4-1
6 5 Binkster 2.50 2.3 4-1
9 8 Dark Money 5.00 2.4 5-1
7 6 Ninth Hour 6.00 2.7 5-1
8 7 Just Right 4.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Big Mountain 8.00 3.3 6-1
2A 2 Vicar’s Legend 30.00 8.9 17-1
5A 4 Manifest Destiny 30.00 8.9 17-1
4 4 Power Up Paynter 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Winter Pool 2.00 2.4 4-1
4 4 Hombrazo 3.50 2.5 5-1
7 7 Top Gun Tommy 4.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Tiz Rye Time 8.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Giocare 6.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Auburn Hills 8.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Handy 10.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Beachwalker 15.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – John’s Call S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Ajourneytofreedom 3.50 3.1 6-1
3 2 Shamrocket 2.50 3.3 6-1
8 7 Serve the King (GB) 3.00 3.8 7-1
6 5 Fantasioso (ARG) 6.00 4.1 8-1
7 6 Ry’s the Guy 6.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Red Knight 5.00 4.7 9-1
5 4 Conviction Trade 12.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Moretti 0.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Joqular 8.00 4 8-1
11 9 My Candy Girl 3.50 4 8-1
5 5 Jazzy Lady 4.50 4.2 8-1
2 2 Kitten’s Romance 6.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Two Cent Tootsie 10.00 5 9-1
1 1 Unicorn Sally 12.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Giggle Factory 12.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Wicked Amber 15.00 6.5 12-1
12 10 Alba’s Star 12.00 7.6 14-1
4 4 Seeking Revenge 20.00 8.9 17-1
8 8 Mia Bea Star 20.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Come Storming 6.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Courageous Girl 2.50 SCRATCH
13 11 Sky Kitten 30.00 11.3 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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