August 25, 2021 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tapalong | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sacred Storm | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Winning Quality | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Magna | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rend Lake Baby | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Livinherbestlife | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Chickadee | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Naughtynaughty | 2.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | My Back Pages | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Simply Complicated | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Angie’s Revrac | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Wanta Ballerina | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Missen the Point | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lizqueenfluerdelis | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Dams Atitude | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Senorita Aurora | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | English | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ready At Midnight | 1.80 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Journeyist | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Clever Kitten | 8.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Laura’s Charm | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Isle of Grace | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Oeuvre | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Modernism | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sweet N Sassy | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | The Last Fact | 20.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dastardly Deeds | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Medal King | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Good Yegg | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Power Through | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | B G Attack | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dream Attack | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Classofsixtyseven | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dash to the Cash | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mommas Boy Otis | 4.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | He’s Wild | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Jimmy D | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Clear N Convincing | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Memory Bank | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | P H Factor | 1.60 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Campioni | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Christian C | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Diamond Dave | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Andreas | 10.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bee Happy Attack | 20.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Paddy’s House | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ioya Again | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Empty Holster | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flashy Richie | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Land Mark Deal | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Coming Up Aces | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ride Richie Ride | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Zandrea’s | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Smack | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | City Fun | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Windy City Girl | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Eye On the Finish | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Northern Alliance | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ms Sassy Atitude | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Seven Kingdoms | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Rapid Transit | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Texas Rain | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | April’s Gem | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.