Sports from the Basement

Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, August 22, 2021

August 22, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Cardio Princess (JPN) 2.50 3.1 6-1
2 2 Vantarsi 4.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Smart Bird 3.50 4.2 8-1
9 8 Silent Ghost 8.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Culatello 8.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Sweet Bombolini 15.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Tarantula 20.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Pure Elegance 20.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Lady Brew 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Tappitty Tappitty 2.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Amniarix 6.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Lady Grace 2.50 4.1 8-1
1 1 Rosebud’s Hope 4.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Royal Wedding 12.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Peace Seeker 10.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Queen’s Speed 15.00 6 11-1
7 7 Juxtapose 12.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Grey Seal 3.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Mademoiselle Nova 2.50 2.5 5-1
5 5 She’s a Dream 4.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Say Hey (FR) 10.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Hello Friends 6.00 4.5 8-1
10 10 Golden Garter 8.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Gloriannia 15.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Call Her Joey 20.00 6 11-1
9 9 Caira 15.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Mia At Midnight 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
14 13 Lookin to Strike 4.50 2.8 5-1
2 2 Wild Medagliad’oro 3.00 3.2 6-1
10 9 Lucky Curlin 6.00 4.1 8-1
13 12 Lapochka 8.00 5 9-1
12 11 Sir Seamus 12.00 6 11-1
4 4 Solidify 12.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Eskiminzin 12.00 6.6 13-1
5 5 Roaring Forties 12.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 Nevaeh’s Dream 20.00 8.9 17-1
8 8 Embolden 20.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Cash Dividend 2.50 SCRATCH
16 16 Striking Moon 12.00 SCRATCH
9 8 Silent Jimmie 20.00 10.4 20-1
1 1 Wedgewood 20.00 10.5 20-1
7 7 Dun Drum 20.00 10.7 20-1
11 10 Entry to Heaven 20.00 11.8 22-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Tourist’s Dream 4.50 2 4-1
4 4 Magic Spin 3.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Expo 6.00 3.8 7-1
10 10 Blue Max 3.50 5.5 10-1
6 6 Dr. Green 8.00 6 11-1
7 7 Afleet Eddie 15.00 6.6 13-1
9 9 More Chances 12.00 7.7 15-1
11 11 Northern Conquest 20.00 9.3 18-1
3 3 Arquebus 20.00 9.8 18-1
12 12 Executive Giant 8.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Liars Club 8.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Regal Intent 20.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Hiatus 4.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Mad Dog N Joe 10.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Arafat 20.00 10.1 19-1
1 1 Deliberate 20.00 10.3 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Ontario Colleen S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Misspell 2.00 1.1 2-1
2 2 Our Flash Drive 2.50 1.1 2-1
5 4 I Get It 6.00 2.8 5-1
7 6 Speightstown Shirl 3.50 3 6-1
6 5 Seasons 8.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Sweet Souper Sweet 15.00 4.7 9-1
4 3 Perseverancia 20.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Salty as Can Be 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Maxy 4.00 1.6 3-1
10 8 Ten Hats 3.50 1.7 3-1
6 5 Avie’s Sky 3.00 2.4 5-1
9 7 Kerics Beauty 6.00 2.9 5-1
8 6 Overstate 12.00 4.2 8-1
3 2 Divine Genesis 12.00 4.7 9-1
2 1 Reload the Bank 20.00 6.4 12-1
4 3 Wicked Miah 20.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Jolene Jolene 10.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Sky Candy 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Juan Pablo 4.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Taos (FR) 6.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 King Causeway 3.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 Sir Sahib 5.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Pleasecallmeback 8.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Redoute’s Light 10.00 7.1 13-1
7 7 Shangassah 12.00 7.9 15-1
12 12 Self Inflicted 20.00 8.9 17-1
4 4 English Illusion 20.00 9.6 18-1
13 13 Battle of Yorktown 8.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Admonish 12.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Artistico 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Native Prince 15.00 10.2 19-1
10 10 Mambointheforest 20.00 10.6 20-1
11 11 Jegos Fire 20.00 10.8 20-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Dance Smartly S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Mutamakina (GB) 1.80 2 4-1
5 5 Etoile (FR) 2.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Blame Debbie 4.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Alnaseem (GB) 6.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Court Return 10.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Merveilleux 15.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Afleet Katherine 12.00 4.5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Queen’s Plate S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Haddassah 10.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Munnyfor Ro 4.50 2.6 5-1
11 11 Avoman 8.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Riptide Rock 6.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Keep Grinding 4.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Harlan Estate 12.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Safe Conduct 5.00 3.9 7-1
10 10 Dance Some Mo 12.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 H C Holiday 15.00 4.4 8-1
12 12 Tidal Forces 12.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Take a Chance 20.00 7 13-1
9 9 Go Take Charge 30.00 8.5 16-1
13 13 Derzkii 30.00 8.6 16-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Highlander S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Turned Aside 3.50 2 4-1
1 1 Old Chestnut 10.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Chuck Willis (IRE) 8.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Caravel 1.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 City Boy 4.50 3 6-1
2 2 Admiralty Pier 15.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Silent Poet 12.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Honey Won’t 30.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
14 10 Fascination 4.50 2.3 4-1
11 9 Frankel At Ascot (FR) 3.00 2.4 5-1
5 3 Protect 8.00 2.5 5-1
10 8 Admiring 12.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Sweet Serenade 6.00 3.6 7-1
9 7 Coasting Away 10.00 4 8-1
6 4 Confident 4.00 4 8-1
1 1 Secret Delight 12.00 4.3 8-1
8 6 Who Says 15.00 5.2 10-1
7 5 Candy Garden 20.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Itskathiesluckyday 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Vivid Vixen 30.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Transient (GB) 5.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Buttered Toast 8.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Cappy 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 13 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 8 My Sea Cottage (IRE) 3.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Lake Shore Drive 6.00 1.9 4-1
11 9 Torontotoro 5.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Mr. Diffley 4.00 4 8-1
3 3 Desolator 8.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Wave Baby 8.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Muchokova 20.00 7.6 14-1
9 7 See Forever 20.00 8.2 16-1
2 2 Danfusi 20.00 8.3 16-1
7 7 Win d’Oro 10.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Holyfield 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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