Sports from the Basement

Saratoga Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, August 22, 2021

August 22, 2021 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.


Try SFTB Plus for Free

$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.

Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!

Learn More

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Time for Cupid 2.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Goddess of Fire 3.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Four Dawn 4.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Dover Dreams 4.50 4.1 8-1
2 2 Saffron Moon 5.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Everyoneloveslinda 6.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Fortineno (IRE) 2.50 2.2 4-1
9 6 Diamond Hands 4.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Highly Devauxted 6.00 4.5 8-1
6 3 Madamoussepousse 8.00 5.8 11-1
7 4 Decree of Love 8.00 5.8 11-1
10 7 Five Prizes 10.00 7.1 13-1
8 5 Seduce 10.00 7.2 14-1
2 2 Pacific Grove 12.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Penny Saver 1.60 SCRATCH
5 5 Miss You Ella 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Strolling 3.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Clench 1.80 2.2 4-1
3 3 Storm Advisory 3.50 2.4 5-1
1 1 Eagle Pass 3.50 2.8 5-1
2 2 Bronzed 6.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Genghis 12.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 2 Shesadirtydancer 2.00 2.6 5-1
10 4 Mia Bea Star 3.00 2.6 5-1
2 1 Jades Gelly 3.50 3.8 7-1
9 3 A Ring Thing 15.00 7.7 15-1
1 1 Corey Scores 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Khali Magic 12.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Mopolka 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Athwaaq 15.00 SCRATCH
7 7 What a Trick 1.80 SCRATCH
8 8 Lilly Simone 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Cazilda Fortytales 3.00 2.4 5-1
8 8 Quantitativbreezin 4.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Miss Peppina 2.50 2.7 5-1
2 2 Baba 5.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Thief of Hearts 8.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Sister’s Ghost 6.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Bella Domenica 12.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Stretchthestory 20.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Lady Milagro 3.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Opening Night 3.50 1.8 3-1
3 3 Shanghai Shamrock 2.50 1.9 4-1
8 6 Landslid 4.50 3.4 6-1
7 5 No Nannette No 6.00 3.9 7-1
1A 1 Martini’s Amica 10.00 6 11-1
5A 5 Martini Twist 10.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Amore Fire 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Actuary (GB) 6.00 2 4-1
3 3 Mud Pie 2.50 2.6 5-1
5 5 Box N Score 1.80 2.9 6-1
1 1 Rhythm Section 4.50 3.5 7-1
9 7 Mystery Bank 12.00 4.2 8-1
7 6 Mister Winston 12.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Mr. Fidget 50.00 7 13-1
6 6 Exult 6.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Angkor 1.40 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 5 Devious Mo 6.00 3.6 7-1
14 6 Fast Break 4.00 4.1 8-1
4 1 Tomato Bill 6.00 4.3 8-1
15 7 Him She Kisses 5.00 4.4 8-1
8 3 Montauk Daddy 8.00 4.9 9-1
5 2 Muchmorethanthis 12.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Kasim 4.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Lyrical Poet 4.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Ahead of Plan 4.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Zanno 5.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Qian B C 8.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Mission Wrapitup 30.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Call Me Harry 3.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Colormepazzi 2.50 SCRATCH
9 4 Quintarelli 30.00 11.6 22-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Summer Colony S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Gold Spirit (CHI) 2.50 1.4 3-1
2 2 Horologist 2.00 2.3 4-1
4 3 Gibberish 3.50 2.7 5-1
5 4 Thankful 12.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 So Darn Hot 12.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Dunbar Road 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 3 Boldish 4.00 1.8 3-1
5 2 Tallis 4.50 1.9 4-1
8 4 Voter Protection 4.50 3.2 6-1
16 8 Rudy Rod 2.50 3.2 6-1
4 1 Leading West 6.00 3.8 7-1
13 7 Reiner 20.00 5.6 11-1
9 5 Isabella’s Dream 30.00 8.2 15-1
1 1 Readyseekgo 30.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Empire Attraction 10.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Canyouhearmenow 50.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Raising Sand 15.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Bail Out 3.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Not Stormy 15.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Sea City 15.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Complicate 10.00 SCRATCH
11 6 Theregoesmymiracle 50.00 12.1 23-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

Upcoming Bankroll Contests
Go To Lobby
SFTB Plus

$10 a Month Gets You DFS Optimizers, Horse Racing Advanced Stats, and More.

Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!

Learn More
SFTB Parties

Choose Your Events and Create Your Own Sportsbook for You and Your Friends.

Only $3 to set up, and includes unlimited guests.

Learn More
Scoreboard
4th - 3:38
Details
Final
Details
Final
Details
Final
Details
Final
Details
Final
Details
Final
Details
Final
Details
4th - 7:27
Details
1st - 4:23
Details
Go to Scoreboard