August 22, 2021 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Time for Cupid | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Goddess of Fire | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Four Dawn | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dover Dreams | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Saffron Moon | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Everyoneloveslinda | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Fortineno (IRE) | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Diamond Hands | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Highly Devauxted | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Madamoussepousse | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Decree of Love | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Five Prizes | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Seduce | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pacific Grove | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Penny Saver | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Miss You Ella | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Strolling | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Clench | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Storm Advisory | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Eagle Pass | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bronzed | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Genghis | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 2 | Shesadirtydancer | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 4 | Mia Bea Star | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Jades Gelly | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 3 | A Ring Thing | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Corey Scores | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Khali Magic | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Mopolka | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Athwaaq | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | What a Trick | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Lilly Simone | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cazilda Fortytales | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Quantitativbreezin | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Peppina | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Baba | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Thief of Hearts | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sister’s Ghost | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bella Domenica | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stretchthestory | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lady Milagro | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Opening Night | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shanghai Shamrock | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Landslid | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | No Nannette No | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1A | 1 | Martini’s Amica | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5A | 5 | Martini Twist | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Amore Fire | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Actuary (GB) | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mud Pie | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Box N Score | 1.80 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rhythm Section | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Mystery Bank | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mister Winston | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mr. Fidget | 50.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Exult | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Angkor | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 5 | Devious Mo | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 14 | 6 | Fast Break | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 1 | Tomato Bill | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 15 | 7 | Him She Kisses | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 3 | Montauk Daddy | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Muchmorethanthis | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kasim | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Lyrical Poet | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Ahead of Plan | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Zanno | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Qian B C | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Mission Wrapitup | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Call Me Harry | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Colormepazzi | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 4 | Quintarelli | 30.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Summer Colony S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Gold Spirit (CHI) | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Horologist | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Gibberish | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Thankful | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | So Darn Hot | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dunbar Road | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 3 | Boldish | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Tallis | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Voter Protection | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 16 | 8 | Rudy Rod | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 1 | Leading West | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 13 | 7 | Reiner | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Isabella’s Dream | 30.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Readyseekgo | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Empire Attraction | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Canyouhearmenow | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Raising Sand | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Bail Out | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Not Stormy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Sea City | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Complicate | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 6 | Theregoesmymiracle | 50.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.