August 22, 2021 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 1 | Lost Uncle | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 4 | Eponine | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Styner | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 7 | Trip to Cairo | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Divine Proportion | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 5 | Vandy Candy | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 6 | Magic of Love | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | I Want More | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Fake I D | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Hair of the Dog | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Wonderville | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Looks Don’t Lie | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Irish Lion | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Charlie Potatoes | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Forced | 0.40 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lifespan | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Top Boss | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | I’ve Gotta Plan | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Officer Appeal | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | The Method | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Family Fortune | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Eight Oaks | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Calypso Ghost | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ms Headley | 1.40 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bustin Hearts | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Arbutus | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Grecian Dancer | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Empty Net | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | My Dream Girl | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Love My Cat | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Pau Hana | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Honor the Tab | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Bob’s Lady | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Smart Entry | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Charliv | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Peachy Between Us | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Guapa Chica | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Kyosha | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Expect the Sunrise | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Magic Mule | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Expensive Style | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rapid Response | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | The Cairo Kid | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Palatial Times | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Semper Fi | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fast Cash | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jack Gave Back | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Spitball | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Unshakable U | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mo Normal | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Broadway Melody | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rona | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Runaway Monet | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cajole | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Alpha Zulu | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Hey Babe | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Dream About Me | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Big Venezuela | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lost My Vowcher | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rrace Day Warrior | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bobby Two Times | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Aperitivo | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Blue Sky Painter | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Golazo | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Where’s the Ben’s | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Johng | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Broker’s Reward | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | My Boy Paddy | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | B Determined | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Favorite Image | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Monster Mason | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Antipoison | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Benny Havens | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Goldie’s Boy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Somekindofmagician | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Macy’s Boy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Awesome Jazz | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | The Big Mozz | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Burgess | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Pet’s Night | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Canherun | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Dirty Dirty | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Francis X. | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.