Sports from the Basement

Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, August 22, 2021

August 22, 2021 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Dark Hedges 2.50 1.9 4-1
1 1 Satchel de Ritches 2.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Stay Happy 4.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Reedley 4.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Take Me for a Spin 3.50 2.9 5-1
3 3 Upper Room 20.00 4.1 8-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Frazzled 2.50 1.7 3-1
1 1 Suki 2.50 1.8 3-1
3 3 Viazar 1.60 2.6 5-1
6 6 Lookin So Lucky 6.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Unbreakable 6.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Cheerful Charm 15.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 California Kook 1.60 1.5 3-1
4 3 Bye Bye Bertie 5.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Did I Stutter 15.00 SCRATCH
7 6 Samurai Charm 2.50 2.8 5-1
6 5 Ginja 4.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Fi Fi Pharoah 5.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Cover Version 20.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Stan the Hot Man 3.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Gold Rush Candy 2.50 1.1 2-1
7 6 Forgiving Spirit 3.50 1.4 3-1
1 1 Erebus 3.50 1.6 3-1
2 2 Moose Mitchell 8.00 3.4 6-1
8 7 Brookys Tapit 12.00 4.9 9-1
6 5 Sippin N Kissin 12.00 4.9 9-1
5 4 Arthur Spooner 15.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Man On the Moon 3.50 1.6 3-1
9 8 Mount Pelliar 4.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Full Draw 4.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Salah 6.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Racetrackers 3.00 3.6 7-1
7 6 Super Classic 12.00 6 11-1
5 5 Enough Nonsense 12.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Very Irish 12.00 6.3 12-1
8 7 Final Final 15.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Rivercrest Road 20.00 SCRATCH
9 8 Quinevere (GER) 2.50 2.5 5-1
10 9 Badger Kitten 3.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Pop Pop’s Dream 12.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Golden Journey 4.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Witch Moon 3.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Mongolian Mission 12.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Whistler’s Style 15.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Pluma 30.00 7.6 14-1
1 1 Glory of Chrome 30.00 7.7 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Whiskey Blue 5.00 1.8 3-1
9 9 Corners Up 8.00 3.3 6-1
11 11 Big News Coming 12.00 4 8-1
3 3 Kind But She Lies 3.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Mongolian Panther 5.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Scream and Shout 3.50 4.8 9-1
7 7 Renegade Princess 15.00 5.1 10-1
14 14 Miracle of Hope 4.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Katie’s Paradise 12.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Backtoflash 12.00 6.6 13-1
10 10 Sassy Chasey 20.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 Phoenix Tears 20.00 8.6 16-1
13 13 Slew’s Screen Star 30.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Siena Silk 30.00 10.8 20-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Green Flash H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Gregorian Chant (GB) 2.50 1.7 3-1
4 4 Collusion Illusion 3.50 2.2 4-1
3 3 Lieutenant Dan 3.50 2.4 4-1
2 2 Texas Wedge 6.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Give Me the Lute 6.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Little Juanito 6.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Chasin Munny 10.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Kneedeepinsnow 20.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Order and Law 3.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Bold Endeavor 3.50 1.8 3-1
3 3 Azul Coast 2.50 1.9 4-1
7 7 Taishan 4.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Zestful 5.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Manhattan Up 8.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Fight On 15.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Finnley’s Kitten 2.50 1.3 2-1
1 1 Unusual Ride 6.00 2.2 4-1
11 11 Chao Mar 10.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Big Bell 12.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Momma Mocca 3.50 4.6 9-1
7 7 Our Miss Millie 4.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Valentine Ghost 12.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Sky On Ice 15.00 6.1 12-1
10 10 Miss O’Brien 15.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Sugar Plum 30.00 7.8 15-1
5 5 Ela Calimera Mou 30.00 9.2 17-1
9 9 Koko’s Mom 30.00 10.3 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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Scoreboard
2nd - 2:37
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Final
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3rd - 0:00
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3rd - 10:52
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3rd - 11:21
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2nd - 0:00
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2nd - 5:48
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2nd - 5:54
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1st - 6:45
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