August 22, 2021 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Dark Hedges | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Satchel de Ritches | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stay Happy | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Reedley | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Take Me for a Spin | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Upper Room | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Frazzled | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Suki | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Viazar | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lookin So Lucky | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Unbreakable | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cheerful Charm | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | California Kook | 1.60 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bye Bye Bertie | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Did I Stutter | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Samurai Charm | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Ginja | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fi Fi Pharoah | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cover Version | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Stan the Hot Man | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Gold Rush Candy | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Forgiving Spirit | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Erebus | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Moose Mitchell | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Brookys Tapit | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sippin N Kissin | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Arthur Spooner | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Man On the Moon | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Mount Pelliar | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Full Draw | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Salah | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Racetrackers | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Super Classic | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Enough Nonsense | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Very Irish | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Final Final | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Rivercrest Road | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Quinevere (GER) | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Badger Kitten | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pop Pop’s Dream | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Golden Journey | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Witch Moon | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mongolian Mission | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Whistler’s Style | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pluma | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Glory of Chrome | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Whiskey Blue | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Corners Up | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Big News Coming | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kind But She Lies | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mongolian Panther | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Scream and Shout | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Renegade Princess | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Miracle of Hope | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Katie’s Paradise | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Backtoflash | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sassy Chasey | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Phoenix Tears | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Slew’s Screen Star | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Siena Silk | 30.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Green Flash H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Gregorian Chant (GB) | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Collusion Illusion | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lieutenant Dan | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Texas Wedge | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Give Me the Lute | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Little Juanito | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chasin Munny | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kneedeepinsnow | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Order and Law | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bold Endeavor | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Azul Coast | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Taishan | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Zestful | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Manhattan Up | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fight On | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Finnley’s Kitten | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Unusual Ride | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Chao Mar | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Bell | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Momma Mocca | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Our Miss Millie | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Valentine Ghost | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sky On Ice | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Miss O’Brien | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sugar Plum | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ela Calimera Mou | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Koko’s Mom | 30.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.