August 21, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Pipestone | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
8 | 7 | Ostracize | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
6 | 5 | Capture the Moment | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
4 | 4 | War Empress | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
1 | 1 | Super Leggera | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
7 | 6 | Blueyed Princess | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
3 | 3 | Kentucky Fan | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
5 | 5 | Hadley | 2.50 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Gancho | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
3 | 3 | Ice Dancer | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
5 | 5 | Mia’s Majesty | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
2 | 2 | Spirit Soul Body | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
6 | 6 | Perfect Play | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
7 | 7 | Strapping | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
1 | 1 | Santiago Salsa | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Soaring Free S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Heaven Street | 2.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
5 | 5 | First Empire | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
6 | 6 | Degree of Risk | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
1 | 1 | Twenty Four Mamba | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
3 | 3 | Silent Farewell | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
2 | 2 | Concealed Carry | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 3 | Carpe Horseshoe | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
7 | 6 | Con Thien | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
5 | 4 | Moonlit Silence | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
3 | 2 | Melrose Star | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
8 | 7 | Smarty Illusion | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
2 | 1 | Shes the North | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
10 | 9 | Musical Ride | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
9 | 8 | Arriviste | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
6 | 5 | Fionnuala | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
1 | 1 | Azura | 12.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | 8 | Twocankeepasecret | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
1 | 1 | Born to Be Good | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
9 | 9 | Royal City Reign | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
5 | 5 | Poinciana | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
2 | 2 | Blu Sky Sunrise | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
3 | 3 | Ms. P’s Bella | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
4 | 4 | Just Silent | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
7 | 7 | Snow Squall | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
6 | 6 | Cliff’s Head | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Catch A Glimpse S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Curlin Candy | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
2 | 2 | Diabolic (IRE) | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
7 | 7 | Silver Magnatized | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
8 | 8 | Lois Len | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
5 | 5 | Mo Touring | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
6 | 6 | Miz Jameson | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
3 | 3 | Mrs. Barbara | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
4 | 4 | Royal Engagement | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 7 | Frosty Breeze | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
8 | 8 | Malibu Edge | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
2 | 2 | Small Talk | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
3 | 3 | Azzurro | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
5 | 5 | Desert Eagle | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
1 | 1 | Moonquest | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
6 | 6 | Spike | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
4 | 4 | Star Chamber | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Singspiel S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | 8 | Corelli | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
1 | 1 | Eons | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
6 | 6 | Belichick | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
2 | 2 | Theregoesjojo | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
3 | 3 | Woodbridge | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
5 | 5 | English Conqueror | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
4 | 4 | Peace of Ekati | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
7 | 7 | Primo Touch | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Stunning Rivers | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
3 | 3 | Thanks Laura | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
2 | 2 | Call Me Kitty | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
5 | 5 | Pearlbdancing | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
8 | 8 | Carla’s Honor | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
4 | 4 | Tally Road | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
7 | 7 | Erratique | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
9 | 9 | Unbee Noanst | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
6 | 6 | Infinite Passion | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Seaway S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | Amalfi Coast | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
7 | 7 | Boardroom | 1.40 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
6 | 6 | Our Secret Agent | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
4 | 4 | Fiduciary (GB) | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
5 | 5 | Toffen | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
1 | 1 | Golden Vision | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
2 | 2 | Hell N Wild | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | 8 | War Bomber (IRE) | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
11 | 11 | Fay Dan | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
2 | 2 | U S Army Corps | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
10 | 10 | Race for Pinks | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
4 | 4 | Selfmade | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
3 | 3 | Fifth Season | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
12 | 12 | English Classic | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
9 | 9 | Bokermin | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
7 | 7 | Hell Bent | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
1 | 1 | Maximus Momentus | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
5 | 5 | Stop the Humbug | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
6 | 6 | Highland Society | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.