Sports from the Basement

Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, August 21, 2021

August 21, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Pipestone 3.50 3.2 6-1
8 7 Ostracize 3.00 3.5 7-1
6 5 Capture the Moment 6.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 War Empress 8.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Super Leggera 10.00 5.4 10-1
7 6 Blueyed Princess 12.00 6 11-1
3 3 Kentucky Fan 10.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Hadley 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Gancho 2.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Ice Dancer 4.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Mia’s Majesty 3.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Spirit Soul Body 6.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Perfect Play 12.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Strapping 8.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Santiago Salsa 10.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Soaring Free S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Heaven Street 2.50 1.3 3-1
5 5 First Empire 2.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Degree of Risk 4.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Twenty Four Mamba 3.50 2.9 5-1
3 3 Silent Farewell 6.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Concealed Carry 15.00 4.2 8-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Carpe Horseshoe 3.00 2.3 4-1
7 6 Con Thien 5.00 2.4 4-1
5 4 Moonlit Silence 3.50 2.7 5-1
3 2 Melrose Star 10.00 2.9 5-1
8 7 Smarty Illusion 6.00 3.8 7-1
2 1 Shes the North 8.00 4.2 8-1
10 9 Musical Ride 8.00 4.3 8-1
9 8 Arriviste 12.00 5 9-1
6 5 Fionnuala 20.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Azura 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Twocankeepasecret 3.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Born to Be Good 2.50 3 6-1
9 9 Royal City Reign 4.50 3.2 6-1
5 5 Poinciana 10.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Blu Sky Sunrise 6.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Ms. P’s Bella 8.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Just Silent 15.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Snow Squall 20.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Cliff’s Head 20.00 6.1 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Catch A Glimpse S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Curlin Candy 3.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Diabolic (IRE) 2.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Silver Magnatized 6.00 2.9 5-1
8 8 Lois Len 4.50 3.3 6-1
5 5 Mo Touring 8.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Miz Jameson 10.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Mrs. Barbara 12.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Royal Engagement 10.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Frosty Breeze 6.00 1.9 4-1
8 8 Malibu Edge 3.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Small Talk 2.50 2.2 4-1
3 3 Azzurro 4.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Desert Eagle 8.00 2.4 4-1
1 1 Moonquest 8.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Spike 12.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Star Chamber 20.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Singspiel S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Corelli 2.50 1.5 3-1
1 1 Eons 2.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Belichick 3.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Theregoesjojo 6.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Woodbridge 10.00 4 8-1
5 5 English Conqueror 20.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Peace of Ekati 15.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Primo Touch 20.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Stunning Rivers 3.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Thanks Laura 2.50 2.5 5-1
2 2 Call Me Kitty 6.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Pearlbdancing 4.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Carla’s Honor 8.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Tally Road 12.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Erratique 10.00 5 9-1
9 9 Unbee Noanst 15.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Infinite Passion 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Seaway S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Amalfi Coast 2.50 2 4-1
7 7 Boardroom 1.40 2.4 5-1
6 6 Our Secret Agent 4.50 2.5 5-1
4 4 Fiduciary (GB) 12.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Toffen 6.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Golden Vision 8.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Hell N Wild 20.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 War Bomber (IRE) 3.00 1.5 3-1
11 11 Fay Dan 4.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 U S Army Corps 5.00 3.5 7-1
10 10 Race for Pinks 6.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Selfmade 10.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Fifth Season 10.00 4.2 8-1
12 12 English Classic 10.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 Bokermin 12.00 6.1 11-1
7 7 Hell Bent 15.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Maximus Momentus 15.00 7.2 14-1
5 5 Stop the Humbug 20.00 7.8 15-1
6 6 Highland Society 20.00 7.8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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Final
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4th - 9:11
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4th - 12:00
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3rd - 10:49
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2nd - 0:00
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2nd - 6:41
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