August 21, 2021 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mayfield of Dreams | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | English Charmer | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ciarrai Abu | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Americas Woman | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pass It On | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Double Happiness | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gimme’s Goldengirl | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Bay of Angels | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mosler’s Image | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sevilla Sangria | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Bust Out Lady | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Prinecess Doir | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 1 | H P Moon | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8A | 5 | Bold Leader | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Radical Right | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Money Room | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Materialize | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Natagar | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cold City | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2A | 2 | Conclusive | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | The Boz | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Tauber | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Railmaster | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Gale Winds | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Ima Ima Starboy | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | By the Sey Shore | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Joseph | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Power Back | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pascal Chant | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Prince Pere | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Rad Paisley | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Prodigious Bay | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Dream Big Dreams | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jebologist | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Welling | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Can’t Pass It Up | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shackled Love | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Classified Info | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 6 | Leave ‘Em Loaded | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 3 | On the Engine | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 14 | 7 | Criticize | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Elusive Jester | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 1 | Mentalist | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 5 | Jack of Hearts | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Honor My World | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Malibu Heaven | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Tipyourhattothat | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Creative Storm | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Rip It | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | War Light | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Honey Island | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Le Peace Treaty | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Miss Disco S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Malibu Beauty | 1.40 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My My Girl | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Hitch a Ride | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Response Time | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Street Lute | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – All Brandy S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Judi Blue Eyes | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Quiet Company | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Artful Splatter | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Forever Dreaming | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Kiss the Girl | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dendrobia | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Good Life Cider | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Awesome Jazz | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Breviary | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Holly’s Lady | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Star De Naskra S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Alwaysinahurry | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Jaxon Traveler | 1.20 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cry No More | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kenny Had a Notion | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Exculpatory | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Find S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 7 | Cannon’s Roar | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Trifor Gold | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Nick Papagiorgio | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Somekindofmagician | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Alwaysmining | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Closer Look | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Benny Havens | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Street Copper | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Tappin Cat | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Cordmaker | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Rock the Boat | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pederson’s Courage | 1.20 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Badger Tooth | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Callyourightback | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Treasure Tradition | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Whatchasaid | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tenax | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.