Sports from the Basement

Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Friday, August 20, 2021

August 20, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 The Good Witch 3.50 2.9 5-1
4 4 Bonnie Lee 2.00 2.9 6-1
2 2 Pino in a Purse 1.40 3 6-1
6 6 Someone Else 6.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Discreet Bear 12.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Unclaimedtreasure 20.00 4.4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Ju Jitsu Cat 6.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Salty Candy 2.50 4.3 8-1
5 5 Souper Size It 3.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Royal Fanfare 10.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Scarborough Bluffs 8.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Cardiff Hall 4.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Black Hills Bronco 15.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Danielle’s Song 20.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 One Thou 20.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 James Bay 3.50 2.2 4-1
6 6 Wheres My Halter 2.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Icomefromdowntown 4.00 3 6-1
1 1 Itmakesmewonder 2.50 3.4 6-1
2 2 Longandshortofit 10.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Supplication 8.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Fire for Effect 3.00 2 4-1
6 5 Avie’s Mesa 2.50 3 6-1
9 7 D’s Ben 8.00 4.3 8-1
8 6 Street Legal 6.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Forester’s Destiny 4.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Aheadbyacentury 10.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Greenfield 15.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Canadian Secret 20.00 6.7 13-1
10 8 Blockbuster 20.00 7.7 15-1
5 5 Night Watchman 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Antigone 1.00 2.2 4-1
7 6 Piccadilly Beau 3.50 2.9 6-1
8 7 Downy Boy 4.50 3 6-1
1 1 Am Prepared 15.00 4.9 9-1
4 3 Matinee 20.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 First Spring 20.00 5.4 10-1
6 5 Robusto 20.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Nevaeh’s Valentine 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Senor Jobim 3.00 1.9 4-1
7 6 Piven 6.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Reconfigure 4.00 3 6-1
6 5 Dotted Line 4.50 3.1 6-1
1 1 Ikerrin Road (IRE) 15.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Forester’s Turn 20.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Speedy Hans 2.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Hurricane Dancer 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Frosted Icing 4.50 1.9 4-1
6 6 Comedy Town 1.80 2.1 4-1
3 3 Al Heybay 3.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Spite Store 4.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Lucky Score 10.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Saturday George 8.00 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Chairman Fox 4.00 1.6 3-1
9 9 Executive Holiday 3.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Hip to Your Tricks 3.50 2.7 5-1
2 2 Steel Wool 6.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Butteronmytie 12.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Abstemious 8.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Best and Final 8.00 4.5 9-1
8 8 Whizmo 12.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Verrazano Legacy 20.00 5.9 11-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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