Sports from the Basement

Saratoga Horse Racing Picks for Friday, August 20, 2021

August 20, 2021 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Mr. Briggs 1.40 1.7 3-1
3 2 Fingal 4.00 4.8 9-1
5 4 Fifty Sheas Ofgrey 4.50 5.4 10-1
4 3 City Magic 6.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Hilliard 2.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Subsidize 3.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Chao 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Makin My Move 1.80 1.8 3-1
4 3 Empire Lily 3.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Trinity Titoli 8.00 3.6 7-1
8 7 Succulent 12.00 4.2 8-1
7 6 Bells On Her Toes 12.00 4.9 9-1
5 4 Silver Fist 15.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Beautiful Banks 20.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Speranza 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Market Alert 1.60 2.2 4-1
6 5 Scuttlebuzz 1.80 2.9 5-1
1 1 Alphalfa 4.50 5.3 10-1
5 4 Scocciatore 4.00 5.3 10-1
4 3 New York’s Finest 6.00 6.6 12-1
2 2 Three Outlaws 3.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Call Me Harry 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6A 5 Recidivist 1.40 1.5 3-1
2 2 My Cousin Rich 4.00 2 4-1
5 4 Hoopla 4.50 2 4-1
1 1 Blame It On Brutus 8.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Rickys Revenge 12.00 3.7 7-1
8 6 Private Code 30.00 8.3 16-1
4A 4 Abdan 1.40 SCRATCH
7 7 Clemenza 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Achilles Heel 2.50 1.8 3-1
2 2 Resilient Courage 3.50 1.9 4-1
6 6 Makart 4.50 2.3 4-1
4 4 Sundaeswithsandy 6.00 2.6 5-1
9 9 Kingdom On Paws 8.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Excursionniste 10.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Whiskey Gent 12.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Kingham Hill 12.00 4 8-1
7 7 Amalgamator 15.00 5 10-1
10 10 Stop the Spread 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Capital Structure (GB) 2.00 3.7 7-1
2 1 Flighty Lady (IRE) 1.80 4.1 8-1
9 6 Enjoyitwhilewecan 8.00 4.7 9-1
3 2 La Dragontea (GB) 4.00 4.7 9-1
8 5 Cat’s Pajamas 12.00 6.1 12-1
6 4 Sister Otoole 10.00 6.2 12-1
10 7 Here Comes Jackie 15.00 7 13-1
1 1 Bramble Bay 20.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Emilia’s Moon 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Singita Dreams 1.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Road to Success 2.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Gimme Some Mo 2.50 2.8 5-1
3 3 Lokoya Road 6.00 4 7-1
8 7 Moonlight Now 8.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Scotto 5.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Chase Tracker 12.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Scotty 15.00 7 13-1
7 7 Breaking Stones 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Repo Rocks 3.50 2.5 5-1
4 4 Jake Rocks 4.00 2.5 5-1
9 9 Critical Threat 8.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Wicked Indeed 6.00 3.7 7-1
10 10 Royal Realm 5.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 F F Rocket 8.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Likeable 8.00 5 9-1
7 7 Full Court Press 12.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Mister Luigi 10.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Rocco Strong 20.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Skidmore S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Pure Panic 2.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Averly Jane 2.00 1.6 3-1
4 3 Backnthewoods 6.00 2.2 4-1
7 6 Golden Bell 5.00 2.3 4-1
9 8 Overbore 2.50 2.7 5-1
1 1 Barone Cesco 8.00 2.8 5-1
6 5 Bonus Appreciation 12.00 3.6 7-1
5 4 Catch the Smoke 15.00 4.4 8-1
10 9 Baytown Warrior 30.00 7.9 15-1
3 3 Kaufymaker 1.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 5 Sweet Mission 5.00 2 4-1
10 6 Never Content (IRE) 3.50 2.3 4-1
1 1 Salino 6.00 2.4 5-1
8 4 Dearest Kitten 8.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Little Nutter 10.00 4.4 8-1
6 3 Malibu Anthem 15.00 6 11-1
3 3 Gabby Squared 3.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Exotic Cat 30.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Hard Won 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Mothers Day Jewel 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Mischief Reigns 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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