Sports from the Basement

Pimlico Horse Racing Picks for Friday, August 20, 2021

August 20, 2021 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Murph 1.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 She’s Mo Better 3.50 1.9 4-1
5 5 Dry Well 5.00 3 6-1
6 6 Louella Street 6.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Redwhiteandtacos 6.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Candy Fable 12.00 4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Bound for Broadway 2.50 2.1 4-1
1 1 Hufflepuff 1.80 2.1 4-1
5 5 Tapdancing Girl 4.50 3.8 7-1
4 4 Castilleja 4.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Princess Kokachin 4.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Live Aid 8.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Crystalology 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 3 Kickstarter 2.00 2.1 4-1
7 4 Speightster Red 2.50 2.4 5-1
2 2 Josef Is Real 2.50 3 6-1
1 1 Ladneedsahandler 8.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Cayman Island 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Crying for More 15.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Eric’s Empire 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Amen Corner 3.00 1.8 3-1
3 2 Federale 2.50 2.3 4-1
6 4 Keeping the Peace 3.00 2.6 5-1
5 3 Ticker Tape Parade 15.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Smart Step 4.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Big Hambone 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Claire’s Darling 6.00 4.5 8-1
6 4 Lambeau Lady 5.00 4.7 9-1
3 2 Artemis Rising 6.00 5.5 10-1
2 1 Heart of God 10.00 8.3 16-1
1 1 Sick Pack Sara 4.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Aprilness 2.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Alluring Rumba 4.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Great Cause 10.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Grand Skylark 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Tremendous 2.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Santo 4.00 2 4-1
1 1 Super Houdini 2.50 2.1 4-1
6 6 Rippolino 6.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 King Alan 8.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Gregoria’s Bay 8.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Lookin for Justice 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Olive Kat 1.80 2.4 5-1
3 3 Whispurring Kitten 4.50 2.9 6-1
2 2 Margie’s Heaven 6.00 3 6-1
5 4 Bunting 12.00 4.7 9-1
8 6 Fifteen Royals 12.00 5.6 10-1
1 1 Carolina Ice 20.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Ellanation 3.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Beautiful Grace 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Unrequited Love 1.40 2 4-1
6 6 Make It a Double 1.60 2.4 5-1
2 2 Raised Wrong 8.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Lady Lynne 6.00 4 7-1
3 3 Fearless Ideas 15.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Sunday in L B C 20.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Netti Girl 12.00 5.8 11-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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Scoreboard
4th - 14:12
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Final
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Final
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Final
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4th - 3:37
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4th - 4:09
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3rd - 5:44
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