Sports from the Basement

Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, August 19, 2021

August 19, 2021 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 For Love Not Money 2.50 1.3 2-1
4 4 Rev Rita 3.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 Bowl of Cherries 4.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Esagerare 6.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Aadhana 6.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 River Girl 20.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Double Fantasy 30.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Devil’s Messenger 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Island Life 2.50 2.5 5-1
2 2 It’s a Riddle 3.00 3 6-1
5 4 Kirsch Truffle 8.00 3.5 7-1
8 7 Showmethemagic 3.50 3.7 7-1
7 6 Season to Remember 12.00 4.8 9-1
4 3 Plum Wild 10.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Stradari 15.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Trouble N Paradise 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Deise Delight (IRE) 1.80 1.2 2-1
4 4 I’m the Boss of Me 4.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 New Drama 6.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Plum Sexy 4.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 A G Indy 3.50 3.7 7-1
7 7 Pistachio Princess 15.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 Our Little Tiger 20.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Tribal Bid 20.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Big Passion 30.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Bombs At Cocal 3.50 1.4 3-1
8 7 You’re My Boy Kat 3.00 1.4 3-1
7 6 Even Steven 3.50 1.4 3-1
4 3 Thirty Four Coupe 4.00 1.5 3-1
6 5 Formal Order 5.00 2 4-1
9 8 Mashhad Flats 10.00 2.9 5-1
5 4 Big Rosie 12.00 3 6-1
3 2 Socal Red 30.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Areeb 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 7 Basilia 3.00 3.5 7-1
7 4 Bestrella (IRE) 4.00 3.9 7-1
4 2 Brittle and Yoo 4.00 5.1 10-1
2 1 Starship Sky 8.00 5.3 10-1
5 3 Prance 6.00 5.4 10-1
9 6 Buy Wave Buy 8.00 6.6 12-1
8 5 Sweet Devil 15.00 8.2 15-1
1 1 Hightailing 12.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Rowangoeshollywood 12.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Golden Voice 6.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Agreetodisagree 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 6 Secret Square 3.00 1.4 3-1
6 4 Gotta Be Lucky 6.00 2.3 4-1
4 2 Eddie’s New Dream 2.50 2.9 6-1
7 5 Smoothlikebuttah 8.00 3 6-1
5 3 Ten the Smart Way 8.00 4.7 9-1
3 1 Daddy’s Girl 20.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 She’s So Pretty 4.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Tiz Wonderfully 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Seven Charms 4.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Big Buzz 5.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Rijeka (IRE) 5.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Ward ‘n Jerry 2.50 2.9 6-1
6 6 K P All Systems Go 3.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Ocean Atlantique 8.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Parsimony 15.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Margot’s Boy 15.00 6.6 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Perfecto Amor 2.50 2.9 6-1
6 6 Eight Makar 10.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Tiz Vicious 1.80 3.2 6-1
8 8 Gordy’s Boy 6.00 4.5 8-1
9 9 Love of the Sport 15.00 4.5 8-1
11 11 Honor Among Men 8.00 4.5 9-1
10 10 Revisionist 20.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Philipie Fast 20.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Hot Pursuit 8.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Call Nine One One 30.00 8.7 16-1
4 4 Alarming Moment 30.00 9.8 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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Scoreboard
3rd - 4:25
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Final
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Final
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4th - 0:51
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Final
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Final
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4th - 9:37
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4th - 10:24
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3rd - 10:09
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