August 19, 2021 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | For Love Not Money | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rev Rita | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bowl of Cherries | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Esagerare | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Aadhana | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | River Girl | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Double Fantasy | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Devil’s Messenger | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Island Life | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | It’s a Riddle | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Kirsch Truffle | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Showmethemagic | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Season to Remember | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Plum Wild | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stradari | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Trouble N Paradise | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Deise Delight (IRE) | 1.80 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | I’m the Boss of Me | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | New Drama | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Plum Sexy | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | A G Indy | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pistachio Princess | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Our Little Tiger | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tribal Bid | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Passion | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Bombs At Cocal | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | You’re My Boy Kat | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Even Steven | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Thirty Four Coupe | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Formal Order | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Mashhad Flats | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Big Rosie | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Socal Red | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Areeb | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 7 | Basilia | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Bestrella (IRE) | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Brittle and Yoo | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Starship Sky | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Prance | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Buy Wave Buy | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Sweet Devil | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hightailing | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Rowangoeshollywood | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Golden Voice | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Agreetodisagree | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Secret Square | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Gotta Be Lucky | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Eddie’s New Dream | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Smoothlikebuttah | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Ten the Smart Way | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Daddy’s Girl | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | She’s So Pretty | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Tiz Wonderfully | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Seven Charms | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big Buzz | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rijeka (IRE) | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ward ‘n Jerry | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | K P All Systems Go | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ocean Atlantique | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Parsimony | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Margot’s Boy | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Perfecto Amor | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Eight Makar | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tiz Vicious | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gordy’s Boy | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Love of the Sport | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Honor Among Men | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Revisionist | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Philipie Fast | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hot Pursuit | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Call Nine One One | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Alarming Moment | 30.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.