August 15, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Dominant Factor | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Flex | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Gendragon | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | King of Gypsies | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Breathlessnthesand | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sir Grayvenscroft | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Social Justice | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | My Boy Christian | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Dani’s Victory | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | R U Watchingbud | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miriam’s Sky | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fast Negotiations | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Federal Law | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Call Me Wally | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hallie’s Hero | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Our Zuma | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Victor’s Destiny | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Suigu Star | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Paperback Hero | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Artie My Boy | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Liverpool Man | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | In Search Of | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Magic Conquest | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Personal Journey | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Verrazano Bridge | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Funiculi | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | High Heat | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fire Knight | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Browning Island | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Love That Madison | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bolu | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Core | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Greyshott | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Seventh Wonder | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hullabaloo | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Tragically Quewick | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Beyond Borders | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Beyond My Dreams | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cape Cod | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Karakontie Pat | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Midway Mischief | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chunky Monkey | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Truecrest | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Send the Word | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Heat Merchant | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mentoring | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stowaway | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stylish Gent | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Be Like Clint | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rum Cup | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | October Frost | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Shamateur | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Brutality | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Timmins | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Patio Party | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Wasaga | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Long Pond | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Boxer Brief | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Star Scholar | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Red Maple | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chancel | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Righteous Robbie | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Milwaukee Fibolt | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Dydyk | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – King Edward S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | March to the Arch | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jolie Olimpica (BRZ) | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Valid Point | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Avie’s Flatter | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Olympic Runner | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Town Cruise | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Alfons Walde (IRE) | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gray’s Fable | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Miss Speedy | 1.20 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dejas Too | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Spider Belle | 8.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Silent Causeway | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Hatmaker Holiday | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Choose Hope | 20.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ivy’s Star | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Enchanted Lady | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Sacred Oath | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Kuduro | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Agnelli | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | The Newfie Express | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Franco’s Honour | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gottoknowrightnow | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sundance Hit | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Preacher Power | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Torah’s Blessing | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Uno Champ | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pugin | 20.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Double the Heart | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.