Sports from the Basement

Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, August 15, 2021

August 15, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Dominant Factor 3.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Flex 2.50 2.4 5-1
8 7 Gendragon 4.00 3 6-1
5 5 King of Gypsies 8.00 4 7-1
1 1 Breathlessnthesand 6.00 4 7-1
4 4 Sir Grayvenscroft 12.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Social Justice 20.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 My Boy Christian 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Dani’s Victory 4.50 3.1 6-1
8 8 R U Watchingbud 2.50 3.4 6-1
1 1 Miriam’s Sky 6.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Fast Negotiations 8.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Federal Law 10.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Call Me Wally 3.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Hallie’s Hero 15.00 6.8 13-1
9 9 Our Zuma 20.00 6.9 13-1
5 5 Victor’s Destiny 12.00 7.2 14-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Suigu Star 3.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Paperback Hero 4.00 2.4 4-1
8 8 Artie My Boy 2.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Liverpool Man 6.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 In Search Of 15.00 4 8-1
3 3 Magic Conquest 10.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Personal Journey 8.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Verrazano Bridge 20.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Funiculi 3.50 2.1 4-1
3 3 High Heat 2.50 2.2 4-1
1 1 Fire Knight 8.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Browning Island 8.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Love That Madison 8.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Bolu 5.00 3.9 7-1
10 10 Core 12.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Greyshott 15.00 5 10-1
9 9 Seventh Wonder 8.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Hullabaloo 20.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Tragically Quewick 3.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Beyond Borders 2.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Beyond My Dreams 6.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Cape Cod 8.00 2.5 5-1
9 9 Karakontie Pat 12.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Midway Mischief 4.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Chunky Monkey 12.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Truecrest 15.00 5 9-1
5 5 Send the Word 20.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Heat Merchant 3.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Mentoring 5.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Stowaway 3.50 2.2 4-1
3 3 Stylish Gent 6.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Be Like Clint 8.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Rum Cup 10.00 3.9 7-1
11 11 October Frost 12.00 4 8-1
9 9 Shamateur 12.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Brutality 15.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Timmins 20.00 6.8 13-1
10 10 Patio Party 20.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Wasaga 4.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Long Pond 3.00 2.3 4-1
9 9 Boxer Brief 2.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Star Scholar 8.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Red Maple 6.00 3 6-1
7 7 Chancel 10.00 4 7-1
4 4 Righteous Robbie 12.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Milwaukee Fibolt 20.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Mr. Dydyk 20.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – King Edward S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 March to the Arch 2.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Jolie Olimpica (BRZ) 2.50 2.4 5-1
8 8 Valid Point 4.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Avie’s Flatter 6.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Olympic Runner 8.00 2.9 6-1
1 1 Town Cruise 10.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Alfons Walde (IRE) 20.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Gray’s Fable 15.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Miss Speedy 1.20 1.5 3-1
5 4 Dejas Too 2.00 2.7 5-1
8 7 Spider Belle 8.00 3.4 7-1
6 5 Silent Causeway 6.00 3.6 7-1
3 2 Hatmaker Holiday 15.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Choose Hope 20.00 5.6 10-1
7 6 Ivy’s Star 20.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Enchanted Lady 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Sacred Oath 2.00 3 6-1
9 9 Kuduro 4.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Agnelli 6.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 The Newfie Express 8.00 4.8 9-1
10 10 Franco’s Honour 10.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Gottoknowrightnow 10.00 6.1 12-1
1 1 Sundance Hit 12.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Preacher Power 12.00 6.6 13-1
8 8 Torah’s Blessing 20.00 7.4 14-1
3 3 Uno Champ 20.00 8.2 15-1
2 2 Pugin 20.00 8.7 17-1
11 11 Double the Heart 20.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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