August 15, 2021 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Congress Hall | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Zig | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sublimity | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Solea | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sacred Lady | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lookin for Candy | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Dominating Buyer | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Green Eyes | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Keepyourskateson | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Ms. Haiti | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Megalomania | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pass It On | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miner’s Gem | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tuff But Fair | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Royal Thunder | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Self Awareness | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Fugitive | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Sir Lenny | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Fast Cash | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Commanding General | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Spotted Bull | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Completed Pass | 0.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Hard Fought | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Gins and Tins | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | South Sea | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Deshackled | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Warm Sunny Breeze | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hard Belle | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Fort Fortitude | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Oldies But Goodies | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Cranston’s Network | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Effulgent | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Francis X. | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miracle Bobbie | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fore On Seven | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rippolino | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ferocious Storm | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 9 | Chromeplated Heart | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fast Lani | 1.80 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Polished Gal | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Behind the Couch | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Miss Majorette | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Rapidashqueen | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Trikki Nikki | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Buckey’s Charm | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | No Venti No Wavy | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tayler’s Chrome | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Stay Out | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Snow Forecast | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Everett’s Song | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Sue Loves Barbados | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Kenny Had a Notion | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Cash Comes First | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | It’s Sizzling Time | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sibelius | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Ghost Maiden | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Leia Organa | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Happylife | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mexicali Rose | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Monster Rising | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Cali Divine | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Dixie’s Fascinator | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kinda Lucky | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.