Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, August 15, 2021

August 15, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 High Glory 2.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Future Princess 6.00 2.9 6-1
5 5 Science 3.00 3 6-1
2 2 For Ever Ours 5.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Bella Sofi 8.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Kenya Sun 12.00 4.3 8-1
10 10 Miss Yaya 15.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Lorettas Comitment 20.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 G T’s Blue Squall 20.00 6.6 13-1
1 1 Trinni Beauty 30.00 8.3 16-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Night Jumper 2.50 1.8 3-1
7 7 Squeeze Me Mike 3.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 He’ssosubtle 3.50 2.8 5-1
1 1 Pharaoh’s Prophecy 6.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Beastfromtheeast 8.00 3.4 6-1
10 10 Drinksonthebeach 10.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 Erlan 15.00 5 10-1
8 8 Poetic Code 20.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Danley 30.00 7.6 14-1
3 3 Panadero 30.00 8.6 16-1
11 11 Principe 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Beyond Heavenly 1.40 1.2 2-1
3 3 Dinner At Five 2.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Bionic Bottle 5.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Marialuisa 8.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Lailoni 10.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Blessed Beast 15.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Varsovia 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Panotti 3.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Flying Black 1.80 3.1 6-1
10 9 Check Twice 6.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Promise Me 8.00 3.5 7-1
8 7 Marimba 10.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Fastlife 15.00 5.8 11-1
7 6 Pretty Princess 30.00 8.4 16-1
6 5 Backstretchbeauty 30.00 8.5 16-1
9 8 Sparkling Plenty 30.00 9.1 17-1
5 5 Quiet Strength 5.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Commissio 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 11 Our Electra Guitar 3.00 2.2 4-1
7 6 Folk Hero 4.00 2.8 5-1
9 8 Dominant Joy 6.00 3.2 6-1
4 3 Miss Inez 5.00 3.3 6-1
8 7 Madame Claude 12.00 4.5 8-1
5 4 Shes a Gift 12.00 4.5 9-1
10 9 Big Surprise 6.00 4.7 9-1
6 5 Katies a Lady 10.00 4.9 9-1
3 2 Look Up to Heaven 20.00 6.6 12-1
11 10 Vanishing Faith 20.00 6.6 13-1
1 1 Bella Romance 30.00 9.1 17-1
2 2 Cupid Austin 30.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Bellavalencia 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Express Pharoah 1.60 3.2 6-1
6 6 Navajo Creed 5.00 3.7 7-1
10 10 Halcyon Digest 3.50 4.4 8-1
3 3 Suleman 8.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Majority Rules 12.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Mony 12.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 El Solitario 10.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 Bad Boy E. J. 20.00 7.6 14-1
9 9 Joe Benjamin 15.00 8.3 16-1
11 11 In Honor of Artie 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Samaronti 12.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Divert 1.40 SCRATCH
7 7 Treasure Run 30.00 10.1 19-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Sprout Wings 5.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Palomita 2.00 2.4 4-1
4 4 Awesome Annmarie 2.50 2.9 6-1
3 3 Loriloupies 4.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Drop a Hint 8.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Panarea 10.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Bargainaire 15.00 6.1 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Buenisimo 1.40 3.3 6-1
10 9 Montana Man 5.00 3.8 7-1
4 3 Thenorthremembers 8.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Gunman 6.00 5.3 10-1
6 5 Tellington 3.50 5.4 10-1
9 8 Freelance 15.00 6.8 13-1
5 4 Political Riot 15.00 7.4 14-1
7 6 Stunning Baby 20.00 8.9 17-1
8 7 Meteorito 20.00 9.2 17-1
3 3 Khozando 3.50 SCRATCH
11 11 Gods Promise 4.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Seazan 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Glory of Florida 2.50 2.2 4-1
4 4 Scar 3.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Garter and Tie 3.50 2.8 5-1
3 3 Squeezadios 6.00 4 8-1
7 7 Quenane 5.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Cool Arrow 8.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Mo Hawk 12.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 9 Excalibur 2.50 2.7 5-1
2 1 Here Comes Bullet 2.00 3.6 7-1
10 8 Prospect Project 8.00 3.9 7-1
8 6 Guaco 6.00 3.9 7-1
6 4 Mulsanne Run 15.00 4.7 9-1
3 2 Alastor 10.00 5.1 10-1
9 7 Tons of Gold 15.00 5.9 11-1
5 4 Ninetydaysofwinter 20.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Power (BRZ) 30.00 8.8 17-1
7 5 Fitz’s Mo 30.00 9.4 18-1
1 1 Gege Conquest 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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Scoreboard
2nd - 0:23
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Final
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4th - 5:01
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3rd - 4:00
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3rd - 3:13
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3rd - 5:09
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2nd - 0:00
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2nd - 0:00
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1st - 0:00
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