August 14, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Souper River | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
6 | 6 | Kid Forester | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
5 | 5 | Souper Classy | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
3 | 3 | Exceed | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
4 | 4 | Trading Bay | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
2 | 2 | Dancing Dragon | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Knew as a Breeze | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
5 | 5 | Fancysoul | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
6 | 6 | Elusive Society | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
4 | 4 | Relentless Ruby | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
3 | 3 | Jocassee | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
1 | 1 | Cocotara | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
7 | 7 | Sonja’s Joy | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
8 | 8 | Rosa Villosa | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | 7 | Merino Wool | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
6 | 5 | Naitaka | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
5 | 4 | Anita Grigio | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
4 | 3 | Raspberry Wild | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
1 | 1 | Sadie Irene | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
2 | 2 | Light It Up | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
7 | 6 | Calais Cove | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
3 | 3 | Mamita’s Chica | 6.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | 9 | Big Cheeks | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
9 | 8 | Louemma | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
8 | 7 | Go Gigi Go Gigi Go | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
5 | 5 | Queen Andher Court | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
1 | 1 | Georgian Dancer | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
11 | 10 | Cefalo | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
12 | 11 | I Am I Said | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
2 | 2 | Echo in the Forest | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
6 | 6 | Silent Mamba | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
4 | 4 | Enhanced Finance | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
3 | 3 | Flawless Pink | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
7 | 7 | Ms Wicked | 8.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 7 | Baksheesh | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
2 | 2 | Strega | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
6 | 6 | Fifth Anniversary | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
4 | 4 | Loaded Vixen | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
3 | 3 | Avie’s Boss | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
8 | 8 | Miss Naha Te | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
9 | 9 | Classic Queen | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
1 | 1 | Sugar Is Golden | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
5 | 5 | Exit Stage Right | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | Thatnightintoronto | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
1 | 1 | Bahia Girl | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
5 | 5 | Sundar | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
7 | 7 | Neptune’s Pearl | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
6 | 6 | Twister Alert | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
4 | 4 | Beat the System | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
8 | 8 | Fire Emoji | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
2 | 2 | Shan’s Tiger | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
9 | 9 | Few Regrets | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | 10 | Meyer | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
9 | 9 | Green Fleet | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
3 | 3 | Ultimate Storm | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
6 | 6 | Reliability | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
7 | 7 | Muskoka Giant | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
1 | 1 | Have a Souper Day | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
2 | 2 | Lumberjack | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
4 | 4 | Grazely | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
5 | 5 | Canadian Pharoah | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
8 | 8 | Birchmount Rd | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Greenwood S. Presented By Stella Artois
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Gretzky the Great | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
5 | 5 | County Final | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
6 | 6 | Oh Say (IRE) | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
7 | 7 | Dyn O Mite | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
4 | 4 | Artie’s Storm | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
3 | 3 | Bode’s Tipsy | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
1 | 1 | Red River Rebel | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 3 | Hit the Point | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
1 | 1 | Dolder Grand | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
2 | 2 | Souper Watson | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
9 | 8 | Guestimation | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
8 | 7 | Finalist | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
5 | 4 | Seventyseven Stone | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
6 | 5 | Argentium | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
7 | 6 | Prideofdistinction | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
3 | 3 | Tecumseh’s War | 2.50 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Spin That Tune | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
5 | 4 | Ride the Wind | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
9 | 8 | Forest Falcon | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
8 | 7 | Is There a Forest | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
3 | 3 | Red Fuji | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
6 | 5 | Bosskaye | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
10 | 9 | Cedar Valley | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
7 | 6 | Crimson Invasion | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
13 | 11 | Practical Gizmo | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
12 | 10 | Shez a Sealy | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
2 | 2 | Leaveyoubreathless | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
4 | 4 | Marais | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
11 | 11 | Taquanyah | 20.00 | SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.