Sports from the Basement

Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, August 14, 2021

August 14, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Souper River 3.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Kid Forester 2.50 2.9 5-1
5 5 Souper Classy 2.00 2.9 6-1
3 3 Exceed 8.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Trading Bay 6.00 5 9-1
2 2 Dancing Dragon 10.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Knew as a Breeze 3.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Fancysoul 1.80 3.1 6-1
6 6 Elusive Society 4.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Relentless Ruby 6.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Jocassee 10.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Cocotara 8.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Sonja’s Joy 20.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Rosa Villosa 20.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Merino Wool 3.50 2.4 5-1
6 5 Naitaka 3.00 2.7 5-1
5 4 Anita Grigio 2.00 3.3 6-1
4 3 Raspberry Wild 10.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Sadie Irene 8.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Light It Up 20.00 5.9 11-1
7 6 Calais Cove 20.00 6.1 11-1
3 3 Mamita’s Chica 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 9 Big Cheeks 3.00 1.6 3-1
9 8 Louemma 4.00 4 8-1
8 7 Go Gigi Go Gigi Go 6.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Queen Andher Court 10.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Georgian Dancer 8.00 5.4 10-1
11 10 Cefalo 10.00 6.1 11-1
12 11 I Am I Said 15.00 6.6 13-1
2 2 Echo in the Forest 20.00 7.5 14-1
6 6 Silent Mamba 15.00 7.8 15-1
4 4 Enhanced Finance 20.00 7.9 15-1
3 3 Flawless Pink 20.00 9.4 18-1
7 7 Ms Wicked 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Baksheesh 3.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Strega 5.00 2 4-1
6 6 Fifth Anniversary 2.00 2 4-1
4 4 Loaded Vixen 6.00 3 6-1
3 3 Avie’s Boss 8.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Miss Naha Te 10.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 Classic Queen 12.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Sugar Is Golden 15.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Exit Stage Right 15.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Thatnightintoronto 3.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Bahia Girl 4.50 2 4-1
5 5 Sundar 6.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Neptune’s Pearl 8.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Twister Alert 2.50 3.3 6-1
4 4 Beat the System 8.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Fire Emoji 12.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Shan’s Tiger 20.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Few Regrets 20.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Meyer 2.50 1.8 3-1
9 9 Green Fleet 3.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Ultimate Storm 6.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Reliability 5.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Muskoka Giant 8.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Have a Souper Day 8.00 4 8-1
2 2 Lumberjack 10.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Grazely 15.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Canadian Pharoah 20.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Birchmount Rd 20.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Greenwood S. Presented By Stella Artois

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Gretzky the Great 2.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 County Final 3.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Oh Say (IRE) 8.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Dyn O Mite 3.50 2.8 5-1
4 4 Artie’s Storm 6.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Bode’s Tipsy 8.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Red River Rebel 15.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Hit the Point 4.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Dolder Grand 1.60 2.6 5-1
2 2 Souper Watson 6.00 4.3 8-1
9 8 Guestimation 15.00 5.4 10-1
8 7 Finalist 15.00 5.6 11-1
5 4 Seventyseven Stone 20.00 6.5 12-1
6 5 Argentium 20.00 6.6 13-1
7 6 Prideofdistinction 20.00 7 13-1
3 3 Tecumseh’s War 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Spin That Tune 4.00 2.8 5-1
5 4 Ride the Wind 2.50 2.8 5-1
9 8 Forest Falcon 12.00 3.6 7-1
8 7 Is There a Forest 10.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Red Fuji 6.00 4 8-1
6 5 Bosskaye 10.00 4.2 8-1
10 9 Cedar Valley 8.00 4.4 8-1
7 6 Crimson Invasion 12.00 4.4 8-1
13 11 Practical Gizmo 15.00 5.7 11-1
12 10 Shez a Sealy 20.00 6.6 12-1
2 2 Leaveyoubreathless 30.00 8.5 16-1
4 4 Marais 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Taquanyah 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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