August 14, 2021 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | King Angelo | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Suit of Armor | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Giramonte | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | King Moonracer | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Brian’s Mission | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | The Great Gazoo | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dashing Circles | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | War Smoke | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Askin for a Baskin | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Laughing Boy | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sticky Issue | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ubiquitous | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flint Ridge | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Soar | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sound Money | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Immortalization | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Canyouhearmenow | 50.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3A | 3 | Absam | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 11A | 8 | Atone | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | St. Joe Louis (GB) | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lonesome Fugitive (IRE) | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Klickitat | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Cold Hard Cash | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Alley Oop Johnny | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tapaloof | 20.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fair Haired Boy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7A | 7 | First Line | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Fingal | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Investment Income | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Palamos (GB) | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Baby Blythe | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Point Wild | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 5A | 5 | Fleeting Glimpse | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mezcal | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4A | 4 | American Heiress (GB) | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tekila | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Empress Theodora | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Popizar | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Wagon Boss | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Win With Pride | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Baby I’m Perfect | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Sicilia Mike | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Regal Quality | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hammerin Aamer | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Honorable Service | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Inscom | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Power Agenda | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Montauk Point | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | General Strike | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Urban Forest | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Don’t Wait Up | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | I’ll Figure It Out | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Duke of Edinburgh | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wild Appeal | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mike J | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Magical Knight | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Back to Normal | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Major General | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Assiduously (GB) | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Restored Order | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Extreme Force | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | K. K. Ichikawa | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Amistad | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Voliero | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Holy Emperor | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Big Blue | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | More Like It | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bricco | 12.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Justintimeforwine | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Public Information | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Irish Giant | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Cousin Andrew | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Scotto | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 11 | Eucharist | 20.00 | 14.7 | 28-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5A | 4 | Mahaamel | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7A | 6 | Ashiham | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ten for Ten | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Speaker’s Corner | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Defeater | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Will Sing for Wine | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Meister | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Mr. Tip | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ducale | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Saratoga Special S. Presented By Miller Lite
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Doctor Jeff | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Double Thunder | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gunite | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Stolen Base | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nakatomi | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | High Oak | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Glacial | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ottoman Empire | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Dance Code | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Red Run | 30.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kitodan | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Midnight Worker | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Fourstardave H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Raging Bull (FR) | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Casa Creed | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Set Piece (GB) | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Field Pass | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Blowout (GB) | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Got Stormy | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Daddy Is a Legend | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Whisper Not (GB) | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Neuro | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dr. Blute | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Luna’s in Charge | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dr. Duke | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Halpert | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Clamor | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Phantom Smoke | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Frat | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Volkert | 15.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | High Limit Room | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Our Troubadour | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Big Wonder | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Ninth Hour | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Him She Kisses | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Beautiful Karen | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Mommie’s Jewel | 30.00 | 12.6 | 24-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.