August 14, 2021 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 6 | Ichigo | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Raeford | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jarlian | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Vlajko | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Royalian | 6.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Transfer the Funds | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Malibu Heaven | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Borgobythesea | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Magic of Love | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Divine Proportion | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Clever and Great | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Replicant | 0.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tiny Tin | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Glorious Weekend | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Manklin Creek | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stand My Ground | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Baltimore Bulleit | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Twist ‘n Twirl | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Cynergy’s Star | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Summer Ash | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Addy’s Laddy T N T | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Gallant Gold | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Neigh Dude | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Littlebitalily | 1.40 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Scarlet Tanager | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jeanie’s Angel | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Joyful Noise | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ravenel | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Calypso Ghost | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Ordinary Girl | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tidal Waters | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Capstone Girl | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Flava’s Dream | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Tipsy Tourist | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Icy Harbor | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Vandy Candy | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Little Ms Scarlet | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Eponine | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Looks Don’t Lie | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Starburst | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Heir Port | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Going to the Lead | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Abuelo Paps | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dr. Rusty Raymond | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Higher Purpose | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Rad Paisley | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Ain’t Da Beer Cold | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shackled Love | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 4 | Bouncing Around | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 5 | Johnny Sack | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Call Me Plucky | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Depository | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 3 | Super E | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. d’Angelo | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Benny Havens | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Sound the Charge | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Toe Curlin’ Kiss | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Take Profit | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Eastern Bay | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nashvegas | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4A | 4 | D’ Rapper | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Noble Commander | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Belle Tapisserie | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Stroll Smokin | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Rough Sea | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jovis | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6A | 6 | Seanow | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 5 | Wolf Ranger | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | One Most Wanted | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jestful | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Bridge of Hope | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Grecian Pharoah | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | War Light | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Storm Tower | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Honey Island | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Gandolfo | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | I Want More | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.