August 14, 2021 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Despeight All Odds | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cause I Said | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Congratsrosy | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Thea’s Theme | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | Melodious Singer | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Captivating Gal | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wrapper Rule | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Weather Wiz | 1.20 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Walk Away Joe | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Even Thunder | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tivano | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Eclipsed Moon | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1A | 4 | Thorny Tale | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 5 | Bumperdoo | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Great Assumptions | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Smarthumor | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Drama’s Prayer | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kick Rocks Kid | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sapio Social | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Handsome Man | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | No Sabe Nada | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Conquistador Show | 1.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Social Equality | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Danny Boy | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Here Comes Magic | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Freedom | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Papa Jimmy | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sassy Babe | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kats in Charge | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hot to Party | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | La Familia | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mizshipman | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Emme Roo | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cocktails At Eight | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jordin’s Surprise | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Travel Girl | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Empire G | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Summer Sweetheart | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Penance | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | That Is Key | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | What About Tonight | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Sammie Sunshine | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tink | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Nana’s Shoes | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Hetty G. | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 1A | 4 | Canoochee | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 6 | Bring Me Answers | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Three Coins | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Farcical | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bohemia Babe | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Naughty Notion | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Remarkable Lass | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Inanna’s Quest | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bella Bettina | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Drink the Tap | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Tina | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Mice and Men | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Instigated | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Fifty | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | E J’s Revenge | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Striking Heir | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Invest | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Bob’s My Uncle | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.