Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, August 14, 2021

August 14, 2021 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Mr. Pickles 2.50 2 4-1
7 6 Sometimes Always 2.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Diva’s Finale 5.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Bourbonwithatwist 6.00 4.4 8-1
6 5 Language Barrier 10.00 4.7 9-1
5 4 Achilleus 12.00 5 9-1
4 4 Launch Pad 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Storm the Bastille (FR) 3.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Irish Heatwave 3.50 2.4 5-1
3 3 Luck of the Draw 4.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Jasikan (IRE) 4.00 3 6-1
6 6 The Black Album (FR) 5.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 French Getaway 6.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Full of Luck (CHI) 12.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Wesphire 20.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Trip to Freedom 4.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Sweet Soulmate 4.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Vegan 2.50 2.7 5-1
1 1 Bella Renella 4.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Dozo 3.50 3 6-1
2 2 Summer Love 10.00 5 9-1
3 3 Win Often 10.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Quiet Secretary 5.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Querelle 3.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Disappearing Act 6.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 She’s Our Charm 2.50 3 6-1
1 1 She’s So Special 4.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Trickle In 12.00 5 9-1
8 8 Golden Curl 12.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Hotitude 12.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Lounge Act 20.00 6.1 12-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Rock the Belles 4.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 Baby Steps 5.00 1.8 3-1
9 8 Half Past Twelve 5.00 2 4-1
5 4 Ruby Ray 6.00 2 4-1
10 9 She’s Got a Way 8.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Wetherly 10.00 2.9 5-1
8 7 Talkative Gal 12.00 3.4 6-1
7 6 Sacred Beauty 20.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Macho Queen 30.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Sugar Sugar 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Burgoo Alley (IRE) 3.50 1.3 2-1
7 7 Valpolicella (GB) 6.00 1.9 4-1
12 12 Thrilling 6.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Carpe Fortuna 4.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 Bleu Ballon 4.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Go Greta (GB) 12.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Cecile’s Chapter 12.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Miss Costa Rica 12.00 6 11-1
11 11 Dramatizer 15.00 6.1 11-1
6 6 Get On the Bus 20.00 7.6 14-1
8 8 Majestic Steps (IRE) 20.00 7.9 15-1
10 10 Founder’s Day 30.00 10.7 20-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Wearenotbadpeople 1.80 1.3 2-1
4 4 Irondale 2.50 1.5 3-1
6 6 Gerlach’s 2.50 3.4 6-1
8 8 Fast Buck 8.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Seattle Breakout 12.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Assurance 12.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Naughty Niko 15.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 New Soi Phet 15.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Ctt And Toc S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Neige Blanche (FR) 3.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Rideforthecause 2.50 2.5 5-1
4 4 Tapwater 3.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Ippodamia’s Girl 4.00 3 6-1
8 8 Global Brand 12.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Red Lark (IRE) 6.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Crystalle 15.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Catch the Eye 30.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 I’ll Stand Taller 3.50 1.8 3-1
6 6 Big Story 4.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Letsgetlucky 1.60 2.2 4-1
5 5 Nichiren 6.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Catemaco 2.50 2.9 5-1
2 2 Intense 15.00 4.2 8-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Fantail (GB) 6.00 3.9 7-1
10 10 Isn’t She Lovely 2.50 4 7-1
9 9 Lalic (FR) 3.50 5.9 11-1
1 1 Nu Pi Lambda 5.00 6 11-1
2 2 Anna Fantastic 5.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Xmas Surprise 8.00 8.2 16-1
8 8 Loud Loud Music 12.00 8.7 16-1
5 5 Roses and Candy 15.00 9.6 18-1
11 11 Miss Alegria 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Anonymously 5.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Fantasy Heat 0.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Gypsy Blu 5.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Magical Thought 20.00 11.6 22-1
6 6 Sheza Girly Girl 20.00 11.8 22-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.