August 13, 2021 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Arms an Armor | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Big Little Risk | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Far Away Look | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Flipping Fun | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bielefeld | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Primo | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kisses for Val | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Being Me | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 5 | Junkanoo | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Summer to Remember | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stanford (IRE) | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Price Talk | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Blue Lou Boyle (IRE) | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Malthael | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Liveyourbeastlife | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | All West | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Hyperfocus | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Glory Road | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5A | 5 | Coalition Building | 1.20 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Now Yus Cant Leave | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Evvie Jets | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wow | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Salit | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wicked Happy | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Synonymous | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Satch | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Suffragette | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Naked On the Beach | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10A | 10 | Infinite Potential (IRE) | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Six Pack | 2.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Likeable | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Air Show | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Supply and Demand | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Trash Talker | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Daggerboard | 15.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tallaj | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Speedometer | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | More Than Vows | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Champagne Camie | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lia Marina | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Splitsecondsonny | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bubble Rock | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lady Danae | 12.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Seduce | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Halo of Fire | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | The Elle Train (IRE) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Union Dolly | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | A Mo Reay | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Celestial | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Stormy Stella | 15.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Toeris | 15.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Full Count Felicia | 15.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Doc Doc Rock | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sue Ellen Mishkin | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Howdyoumakeurmoney | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Royal Currency | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mama Said No | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Caragate | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Classic Vinman | 15.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Alicia’s Way | 15.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ace Up Her Sleeve | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Beautiful Banks | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Silver Fist | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Makin My Move | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Trinity Titoli | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Succulent | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Twist Just Right | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Our Tiny Dancer | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 11 | Masterof the Tunes | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Choose Happiness | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pure Bode | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | My Lips Are Sealed | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | More Glitter | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pretty Clever | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cara’s Dreamer | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Freedom Machine | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mopolka | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Unicorn Sally | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Golden Oldie | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Lot of Honey | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Cheatham Hill | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Ok Honey | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Della Lute | 50.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Noble Emotion | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shekky Shebaz | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Duress | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Joker On Jack | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Competitive Saint | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Matta | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Lomu | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ragtime Blues | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | O’Trouble | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Tale Of The Cat S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Wind of Change (BRZ) | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wondrwherecraigis | 1.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Foolish Ghost | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Boy Tate | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shashashakemeup | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bon Raison | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Vikram | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Profusion | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Good Culture | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Well Done West | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Litterbox | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Taino | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Apex Predator | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Centavo | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Joey Loose Lips | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.