August 13, 2021 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Great Cause | 1.40 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Meet Michelle | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sunday in L B C | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Adabel | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Slip Slidin | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Way Or Else | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Vodkatini | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | I’m Gittin There | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | California Bella | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Runup | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Preparefortakeoff | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | At the Gate | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mama G’s Wish | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Dry Well | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Frankee Merch | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Keepyourguardup | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Golazo | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gator Fifty Two | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Justice of War | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | New York One | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Swing Your Sword | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Frosteria | 0.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mattitude | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Brandyurafinegirl | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Belle of the North | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Backstreet Gal | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Tasfeeq | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ginamaya | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Maggie’s Bid | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 2 | The Big K | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Little Bold Bandit | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Hushed Hijinks | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Smitten Enough | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Pepe and Heywood | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Power Back | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Noble Callisto | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Belmullet | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Kickstarter | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Street Prayer | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Top Boss | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Diamond Setter | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Solomonic | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Pitching Ari | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hayne’s Fever | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Talented Dr. B | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Greek Prince | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Snoop | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 6 | Mr. J. McKay | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Contented Now | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Irishman | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lightning Rod | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Left Blank | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Dance On the Moon | 50.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rip It | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Nth Power | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Santo | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Thundershook | 1.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Tybalt | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Tappin Cat | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Air Token | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Workin On a Dream | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Fool Yourself | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Danger Zone | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | A Girl Named Jac | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Who U Gonna Call | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Beckon | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Champagne Toast | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Maureenlovesfrank | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Talking Girl | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.