Sports from the Basement

Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Friday, August 13, 2021

August 13, 2021 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Busker Allie 3.00 1.6 3-1
5 4 Velvet Ghost 4.50 2 4-1
8 7 Mogollon Rim 4.00 2.1 4-1
4 3 Distorted Diva 2.50 2.8 5-1
7 6 Agador Spartacus 8.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Medina Man 8.00 3.8 7-1
6 5 Empire’s Fire 10.00 4.5 9-1
9 8 Blueberry Eyes 15.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 My Mane Champ 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Varoma 1.80 1.1 2-1
1 1 Freedom Lass 3.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Trouville 2.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Samurai Charm 3.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Mama Superior 12.00 3.5 7-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Kitten’s Kid 2.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 Wrong Turn Cupid 2.50 1.6 3-1
8 8 Nan Elizabeth 5.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Applaud the Bench 12.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Striking Tigress 10.00 4 8-1
4 4 Mamba Queen 2.50 4.1 8-1
5 5 Iconic Storm 20.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Mistaka 30.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 Beautiful Temple 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Class Code 6.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Queen of Love 8.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Curious Inji 6.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 La Pulcinela 1.60 4 8-1
7 7 My Sis Cindy 15.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Grigoro 12.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Medusa’s Gaze 3.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Can Fly 20.00 5 9-1
1 1 Aristeia 15.00 5.6 11-1
10 10 Lady Beyonce 30.00 8.6 16-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Donner Lake 3.50 2.9 5-1
6 6 Tallemark 4.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Cool Your Jets 4.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Hail Freedom 4.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Big Coupe 3.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Warrens Candy Man 8.00 6 11-1
1 1 Larry’s Legend 20.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Tiger’s Arrow 30.00 8.1 15-1
7 7 Club Mesquite 30.00 8.4 16-1
10 10 Harbor Sky 0.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Eagle in the Sky 2.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Just About Enough 15.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Talklessworkmore 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Scabbard 2.50 2.2 4-1
10 10 Alleva 5.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Hit the Seam 5.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Rousing Slammer 8.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Eustace 12.00 7.1 14-1
2 2 Palace Prince 15.00 7.1 14-1
4 4 Fast as Cass 15.00 7.3 14-1
5 5 Afternoon Heat 12.00 7.4 14-1
7 7 Rebel War 15.00 8.7 16-1
9 9 Box of Chocolates 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Willy Boi 4.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Commander Khai 5.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Good With People 3.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Beer Can Man 3.50 2.9 6-1
6 6 Harbored Memories 3.50 3 6-1
4 4 Love My Jimmy 10.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Poso Creek 30.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 River Tiber 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 You’re My Boy Kat 2.50 1.8 3-1
1 1 Eddiespaghetti 4.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 Chris Fix 3.50 2.3 4-1
2 2 Prince Hussar 6.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Floyd Knowles 10.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Falcon Ex 12.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 State of the Union 15.00 5.7 11-1
10 10 Mesa Empire 20.00 6.6 12-1
5 5 Curling Secret 20.00 6.9 13-1
7 7 Kimmer 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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Scoreboard
4th - 12:38
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4th - 1:46
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4th - 2:57
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3rd - 2:21
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