August 13, 2021 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Busker Allie | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Velvet Ghost | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mogollon Rim | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Distorted Diva | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Agador Spartacus | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Medina Man | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Empire’s Fire | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Blueberry Eyes | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Mane Champ | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Varoma | 1.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Freedom Lass | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Trouville | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Samurai Charm | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mama Superior | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Kitten’s Kid | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wrong Turn Cupid | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Nan Elizabeth | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Applaud the Bench | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Striking Tigress | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mamba Queen | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Iconic Storm | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mistaka | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Beautiful Temple | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Class Code | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Queen of Love | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Curious Inji | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | La Pulcinela | 1.60 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | My Sis Cindy | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Grigoro | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Medusa’s Gaze | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Can Fly | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Aristeia | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Lady Beyonce | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Donner Lake | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tallemark | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cool Your Jets | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hail Freedom | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Big Coupe | 3.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Warrens Candy Man | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Larry’s Legend | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tiger’s Arrow | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Club Mesquite | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Harbor Sky | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Eagle in the Sky | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Just About Enough | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Talklessworkmore | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Scabbard | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Alleva | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hit the Seam | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rousing Slammer | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Eustace | 12.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Palace Prince | 15.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fast as Cass | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Afternoon Heat | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rebel War | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Box of Chocolates | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Willy Boi | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Commander Khai | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Good With People | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Beer Can Man | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Harbored Memories | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Love My Jimmy | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Poso Creek | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | River Tiber | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | You’re My Boy Kat | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Eddiespaghetti | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Chris Fix | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Prince Hussar | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Floyd Knowles | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Falcon Ex | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | State of the Union | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mesa Empire | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Curling Secret | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kimmer | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.