Sports from the Basement

Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, August 12, 2021

August 12, 2021 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Raisebeforetheflop 2.00 1.5 3-1
5 4 Mongolian Ford 2.50 2.3 4-1
3 3 Allaboutthemoney 4.00 3 6-1
6 5 Direct Line 4.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Gone Rogue 8.00 5 9-1
4 4 Roadside 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Barristan The Bold (GB) 4.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Ian Glass 2.50 2.8 5-1
6 5 Grit and Curiosity 1.80 3 6-1
4 4 Psycho Dar 3.50 3.2 6-1
1 1 McWherter 6.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Restoring Dreams 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Super Renee 2.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 Jacrodra’s Devil 4.50 2 4-1
7 7 Blame It On Rose 5.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Sip Sip Hooray 4.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 My Sweet Mary 5.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Areeb 10.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Kittybe Quick 15.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Daniel’s Girl 15.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Outlaw Daisy 20.00 6.1 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Dendera 2.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Peacehaven 2.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 Abhita 5.00 3 6-1
8 8 Ball Lass 6.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Peppermint Flirt 6.00 3.8 7-1
9 9 Eleuthera 8.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Heaven’s Ghost 20.00 8.2 16-1
4 4 Assunta 20.00 8.4 16-1
2 2 Big Fame 20.00 8.7 16-1
10 10 Warren’s Showgirl 5.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Busker Allie 0.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Blueberry Eyes 0.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Distorted Diva 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Invictatatus 2.50 2.5 5-1
5 5 Next Revolt 4.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Boyson 5.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Street Behavior 5.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 American Dancer 2.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Question Authority 12.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Liam’s Pride 12.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Fireproof 5.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Rain Diva 3.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Shylock Eddie 3.50 4.6 9-1
9 8 Miss Carousel 6.00 4.7 9-1
8 7 Acai 5.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Super Game 6.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 D’s Lovely Sophia 6.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Square Peggy 12.00 7.8 15-1
7 7 Big Passion 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Joe Don Looney 4.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Half Right 3.50 3.3 6-1
4 4 Hot Pastrami 8.00 6.5 12-1
10 10 Cibertruck 8.00 6.9 13-1
11 11 Wedding Groom 10.00 8.3 16-1
3 3 Awesome Beach 12.00 8.6 16-1
2 2 Chasing Fame 12.00 8.6 16-1
9 9 Goldeneyed 12.00 9 17-1
5 5 Catbernay 12.00 9.2 17-1
6 6 Ashley’s Valentine 12.00 9.9 19-1
1 1 Carpe Donum 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Numero Dix (GB) 3.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 War Machine 4.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Crew Dragon 2.50 4.6 9-1
1 1 Hockey Dad 3.50 5.3 10-1
9 9 The Hulk (GB) 12.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Cotopaxi (IRE) 8.00 6 11-1
4 4 Laker Mamba 12.00 8.2 16-1
7 7 Swiss Swoo (IRE) 20.00 8.3 16-1
10 10 Mohawk King (IRE) 5.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Fuego Caliente 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Optimistic Valor 5.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Dicey Mo Chara (GB) 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Barraza 20.00 10.5 20-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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