Sports from the Basement

Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, August 8, 2021

August 8, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Millennium Force 3.50 2.2 4-1
3 3 Sterling Speed 2.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Forest Drift 2.50 2.7 5-1
2 2 Starlight Ridge 8.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Mrs. Del 12.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Silver Dahlia 6.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Systemic Risk 20.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Cruden Bay 12.00 4.4 8-1
13 12 Infamous Covert 8.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Mr Narcissistic 15.00 4.8 9-1
11 11 Perfect Crime 6.00 5 9-1
1 1 Pound Green 8.00 5 10-1
3 3 Priceless Will 3.00 5.2 10-1
10 10 Download 12.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Parmigiano 5.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Candy Overload 4.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Maximus Momentus 20.00 7.2 14-1
9 9 Executive Search 20.00 8.3 16-1
6 6 Commander Tom 30.00 8.8 17-1
12 12 Have a Souper Day 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 What a Beaut 2.50 2.3 4-1
7 7 The Good Witch 3.00 2.4 5-1
8 8 Bonnie Lee 3.50 3.2 6-1
4 4 Sea Lily 6.00 4 8-1
2 2 Hold the Applause 10.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Someone Else 8.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 Sea Anna Dream 12.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Daisy Jane 20.00 6.1 12-1
5 5 Discreet Bear 20.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Tycoon 3.00 4.3 8-1
10 9 Wheres My Halter 10.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Better Boogie 6.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Crafty Conquest 12.00 4.8 9-1
14 13 Over the Hills 15.00 4.8 9-1
13 12 Bokermin 10.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Keen Samurai 10.00 5 9-1
11 10 Carl G 15.00 5.2 10-1
8 7 Goldmine Cat 15.00 6 11-1
12 11 De Only Solution 20.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Ante Up Alex 20.00 6.9 13-1
7 6 Unlimited Talent 20.00 8.2 16-1
9 8 Copinsay 30.00 9.7 18-1
5 5 Speed Way 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Cheek to Cheek 4.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Courtly Manner 3.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Gorgeous Kitten 2.50 3.6 7-1
1 1 Letthebighossroll 12.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Distinct Passion 6.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Another 10.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Perlarana 12.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Moscow Minister 15.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 First Spring 20.00 7.4 14-1
5 5 Greenfield 20.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Tragically Funny 4.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Kiddie Holiday 3.00 1.7 3-1
12 11 Sailor’s Passion 6.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Chairman Bob 8.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Take Charge Gent 10.00 4.2 8-1
13 12 Wild River Wolf 10.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Perfect Picture 12.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Late Surge 12.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Wicked Crazy 12.00 6.3 12-1
10 9 I’m a Chi Too 12.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Incendio 20.00 6.9 13-1
11 10 Thelonious 20.00 8 15-1
9 9 Big Brown Brewskii 12.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Bossy Holiday 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 In My Opinion 3.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Secrets Told 4.00 3.6 7-1
11 10 Harvest 10.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Using Coconuts 6.00 4.6 9-1
10 9 Twister Alert 8.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Lady At Blame 8.00 5.1 10-1
9 8 Big Ginger 12.00 5.7 11-1
12 11 Reciprocal 10.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Fedalia 12.00 7.5 14-1
3 3 Crystal Crescent 20.00 8.7 17-1
6 6 Gwen 20.00 9.5 18-1
8 8 American Indy 15.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Azura 8.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Sundar 5.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Admiring 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Tiz Romantic 4.00 2.3 4-1
10 9 Cousin Bob 8.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Lord of Legends 6.00 2.9 6-1
8 8 Passthepuddinpleaz 3.00 2.9 6-1
1 1 Kawacatoose 8.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Mad Dog N Joe 20.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Verrazano Legacy 20.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Zephyrtizer 20.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Dawson Silver 20.00 6.9 13-1
9 9 Ocelot 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Aim for the Sky 2.50 1.9 3-1
9 8 Lenny K 3.50 2.2 4-1
8 7 Sandy Bay 3.00 2.4 4-1
3 3 Hurricane Dancer 12.00 2.8 5-1
6 5 Ritmo de Cueca (ARG) 10.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Al Heybay 6.00 3.6 7-1
7 6 Checkerboard Floor 8.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Seau 15.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Yzerman 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Stormy Derby Day 3.00 2.7 5-1
10 9 Rapunzel’s Dream 4.00 3.1 6-1
13 12 Take Chargechristy 3.50 3.5 7-1
1 1 Cool Society 5.00 3.8 7-1
11 10 Under the Eye 10.00 4.4 8-1
9 8 Call Her Joey 10.00 4.5 9-1
8 7 Very Savvy 6.00 4.9 9-1
6 5 Bossalina 8.00 5.4 10-1
5 4 Capable 15.00 7.8 15-1
2 2 Twomanyshots 20.00 8.5 16-1
12 11 Naked Illusion 20.00 8.7 16-1
4 3 Slydini 20.00 8.9 17-1
3 3 Rolling Sloan 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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