Sports from the Basement

Saratoga Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, August 8, 2021

August 8, 2021 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Shaker Shack 1.60 2.5 5-1
5 5 Spun d’Etat 2.50 2.7 5-1
4 4 Chloe Rose 3.50 3.1 6-1
3 3 Seascape 4.50 3.2 6-1
1 1 Calibogue Sound 8.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Briella 10.00 6.1 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5A 5 Consumer Spending 1.40 1.6 3-1
7A 6 McKulick (GB) 1.40 1.6 3-1
1 1 Penny Saver 2.50 2 4-1
4 4 Skylerville 5.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Love to Run 6.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Anileate 8.00 4.5 9-1
8 7 Frosted Oats 15.00 6.6 13-1
9 8 Tahaweel 10.00 7.2 14-1
6 6 No Nannette No 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 No Payne 2.50 2.3 4-1
1 1 Caumsett 3.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 U Should B Dancing 3.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Kreesa La Wrote 3.50 3.1 6-1
7 7 Barrel of Bliss 12.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Miss Flintshire 15.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Favorite Impulse 15.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Catchulady 30.00 7 13-1
9 9 Isle Storm 30.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Off We Go 3.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Semble Juste (IRE) 4.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Easy to Bless 2.50 2.3 4-1
3 3 Harper’s in Charge 2.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Midtown Rose 8.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Awesome Indra 10.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Babagram 5.00 2.5 5-1
8 7 Distractandattack 4.50 2.9 5-1
4 4 I’m Blaming You 3.00 3.2 6-1
7 6 Tempesta 6.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Majestic Tiger 5.00 4.2 8-1
10 8 Masked Marauder 8.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Sonic Speed 10.00 4.7 9-1
12 10 Boom Boom Kaboom 12.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Forgotten Mission 15.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Far Away Look 6.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Brew Pub 3.50 SCRATCH
13 13 Stonecoldwarrior 10.00 SCRATCH
11 9 Chase the Cat 30.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 8 Mommasgottarun 3.50 1.2 2-1
7 6 Fabulous Fanny 4.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Amani’s Image 5.00 2 4-1
1 1 Popular Vote 6.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Free Chickens 10.00 4.1 8-1
6 5 Shanghai Shamrock 10.00 5.1 10-1
5 4 She’s Brilliant 15.00 6.5 12-1
8 7 Dream Lith 20.00 7.9 15-1
4 4 Madamoussepousse 12.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Li Li Bear 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Fasig-tipton De La Rose S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Viadera (GB) 1.20 2.2 4-1
7 7 Regal Glory 1.80 2.5 5-1
1 1 Hendy Woods 6.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Shifty She 8.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Belle Laura 12.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Raven’s Cry (IRE) 10.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Star Command 20.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Adirondack S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Ontheonesandtwos 2.50 1.7 3-1
9 9 Microbiome 5.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Wicked Halo 3.50 2.1 4-1
6 6 Interstatedaydream 10.00 3 6-1
1 1 J L’s Rockette 10.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Mainstay 3.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Shesawildjoker 10.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Saucy Lady T 20.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Boss Lady Kim 30.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Saratoga Oaks Invitational S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Rocky Sky (IRE) 3.00 1.1 2-1
7 7 Creative Flair (IRE) 3.50 1.7 3-1
1 1 Higher Truth (IRE) 5.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Con Lima 3.50 2.8 5-1
4 4 Plum Ali 5.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Gam’s Mission 8.00 5 10-1
2 2 Messidor (IRE) 12.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Out of Sorts 15.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Albie 3.50 4.2 8-1
8 7 Stanhope 5.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Saratoga Flash 4.50 5.4 10-1
10 9 Chrome Dixie 5.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 The Golden Door 8.00 6.1 12-1
7 6 Catch That Party 8.00 7 13-1
2 2 Danzigwiththestars 12.00 7.8 15-1
9 8 Perpetrate 12.00 8.3 16-1
1 1 Rift Valley 15.00 8.9 17-1
6 6 Cotton 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Jaa Mode 12.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Water’s Edge 0.40 SCRATCH
11 10 Mr. Vincent 20.00 10.8 20-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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