August 8, 2021 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Shaker Shack | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Spun d’Etat | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chloe Rose | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Seascape | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Calibogue Sound | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Briella | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5A | 5 | Consumer Spending | 1.40 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7A | 6 | McKulick (GB) | 1.40 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Penny Saver | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Skylerville | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Love to Run | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Anileate | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Frosted Oats | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Tahaweel | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | No Nannette No | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | No Payne | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Caumsett | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | U Should B Dancing | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kreesa La Wrote | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Barrel of Bliss | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Flintshire | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Favorite Impulse | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Catchulady | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Isle Storm | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Off We Go | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Semble Juste (IRE) | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Easy to Bless | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Harper’s in Charge | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Midtown Rose | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Awesome Indra | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Babagram | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Distractandattack | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | I’m Blaming You | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tempesta | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Majestic Tiger | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Masked Marauder | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sonic Speed | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Boom Boom Kaboom | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Forgotten Mission | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Far Away Look | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Brew Pub | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Stonecoldwarrior | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 9 | Chase the Cat | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 8 | Mommasgottarun | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Fabulous Fanny | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Amani’s Image | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Popular Vote | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Free Chickens | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Shanghai Shamrock | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | She’s Brilliant | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Dream Lith | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Madamoussepousse | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Li Li Bear | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Fasig-tipton De La Rose S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Viadera (GB) | 1.20 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Regal Glory | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hendy Woods | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shifty She | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Belle Laura | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Raven’s Cry (IRE) | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Star Command | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Adirondack S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ontheonesandtwos | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Microbiome | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wicked Halo | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Interstatedaydream | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | J L’s Rockette | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mainstay | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shesawildjoker | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Saucy Lady T | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Boss Lady Kim | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Saratoga Oaks Invitational S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Rocky Sky (IRE) | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Creative Flair (IRE) | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Higher Truth (IRE) | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Con Lima | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Plum Ali | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gam’s Mission | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Messidor (IRE) | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Out of Sorts | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Albie | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Stanhope | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Saratoga Flash | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Chrome Dixie | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | The Golden Door | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Catch That Party | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Danzigwiththestars | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Perpetrate | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rift Valley | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cotton | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Jaa Mode | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Water’s Edge | 0.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 10 | Mr. Vincent | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.