Sports from the Basement

Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, August 8, 2021

August 8, 2021 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Surplus 1.60 1.5 3-1
7 7 So Cal Memory 4.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Hot Spot 3.50 1.8 3-1
6 6 Zip Now 6.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Misawa 6.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Gerlach’s 5.00 4 8-1
3 3 Mount Olympic 20.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Defunded 1.80 1.9 4-1
3 3 Truth Seeker 4.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Palace Coup 5.00 3 6-1
4 4 Indimaaj 6.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Beyond Brilliant 3.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Impossible Task 8.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Betito 12.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Too Late 5.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Bench Judge 3.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 First Prez 6.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Castle 2.50 3 6-1
6 6 Ascot Storm 6.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Austin’s Boy 6.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Teton Valley 12.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Admirably 15.00 6 11-1
9 9 Tiz a Speed Bomb 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Charter Oak 2.50 1.3 2-1
7 7 Walking Boss 3.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 Midnight Mammoth 5.00 1.7 3-1
8 8 Redline 5.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Respect the Code 6.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Commissioner David 6.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Bright Leaf 8.00 3 6-1
5 5 Curly Esa 20.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 7 Big Summer 2.50 2 4-1
1 1 Iva Toguri 4.00 2.2 4-1
11 9 Starship Endeavor 3.00 2.7 5-1
6 5 Youonlylivetwice 5.00 2.7 5-1
14 10 Delta Wind 2.00 3.8 7-1
8 6 Spanish Channel 6.00 5.5 10-1
10 8 Va Va Voom 5.00 6.2 12-1
4 3 Shout It Out 6.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Shez Our Arch 12.00 6.8 13-1
5 4 Soul Sweet 30.00 9 17-1
3 3 Callhercontessa 0.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Be Advised 30.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Mistaka 0.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Nan Elizabeth 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Graduation S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Rock N Rye 1.60 1.5 3-1
1 1 Mr. T’s Thirsty 2.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Trip to Spain 2.00 1.9 4-1
5 4 Northvale Road 6.00 2.9 6-1
3 3 Thirsty Always 0.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Fowler Blue 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Tigerhon (FR) 4.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Bad Beat Brian 3.50 2.9 5-1
6 6 Torosay 2.50 2.9 6-1
7 7 Mr Vargas 2.00 3 6-1
4 4 Jamming Eddy 6.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Whisky My God (ARG) 12.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Superman Shaq 20.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Sally Stanford 1.60 1.9 4-1
4 4 Smart Monique 4.00 2.4 4-1
6 6 Essential Worker 5.00 2.6 5-1
10 10 Amanda Rose 5.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Bonita Leona 6.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Sue Ettas Ghost 12.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Surely Spectacular 12.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Miss Malia 20.00 6.6 12-1
5 5 Dashing Demi 30.00 8.4 16-1
7 7 Allwinedup 30.00 8.4 16-1
11 11 Lilly Babe 5.00 SCRATCH
12 12 My Sweet Mary 0.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Jacrodra’s Devil 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – La Jolla H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Zoffarelli (IRE) 3.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Hudson Ridge 2.50 2 4-1
6 6 Sword Zorro (IRE) 4.00 2.4 4-1
4 4 Cathkin Peak (IRE) 2.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Stilleto Boy 6.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Wyfire 12.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Head for Business 2.50 1.5 3-1
2 2 Abi Gezunt 6.00 1.9 4-1
9 9 Safe Combination 6.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Hidetheloot 5.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Union Bliss 6.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Irresistibly Sexy 15.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Test Drive 15.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Hot Pursuit 4.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Lucky Chance 20.00 5.6 11-1
10 10 Barzel Force 30.00 6.9 13-1
11 11 Little Mischief 30.00 8.6 16-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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