August 8, 2021 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Surplus | 1.60 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | So Cal Memory | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hot Spot | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Zip Now | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Misawa | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gerlach’s | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mount Olympic | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Defunded | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Truth Seeker | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Palace Coup | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Indimaaj | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Beyond Brilliant | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Impossible Task | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Betito | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Too Late | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bench Judge | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | First Prez | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Castle | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ascot Storm | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Austin’s Boy | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Teton Valley | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Admirably | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tiz a Speed Bomb | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Charter Oak | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Walking Boss | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Midnight Mammoth | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Redline | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Respect the Code | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Commissioner David | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bright Leaf | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Curly Esa | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 7 | Big Summer | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Iva Toguri | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Starship Endeavor | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Youonlylivetwice | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 14 | 10 | Delta Wind | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Spanish Channel | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Va Va Voom | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Shout It Out | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shez Our Arch | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Soul Sweet | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Callhercontessa | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Be Advised | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Mistaka | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Nan Elizabeth | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Graduation S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Rock N Rye | 1.60 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. T’s Thirsty | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Trip to Spain | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Northvale Road | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Thirsty Always | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Fowler Blue | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tigerhon (FR) | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bad Beat Brian | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Torosay | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mr Vargas | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jamming Eddy | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Whisky My God (ARG) | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Superman Shaq | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Sally Stanford | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Smart Monique | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Essential Worker | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Amanda Rose | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bonita Leona | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sue Ettas Ghost | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Surely Spectacular | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Malia | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dashing Demi | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Allwinedup | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lilly Babe | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | My Sweet Mary | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Jacrodra’s Devil | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – La Jolla H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Zoffarelli (IRE) | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hudson Ridge | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sword Zorro (IRE) | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cathkin Peak (IRE) | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stilleto Boy | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wyfire | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Head for Business | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Abi Gezunt | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Safe Combination | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hidetheloot | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Union Bliss | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Irresistibly Sexy | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Test Drive | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hot Pursuit | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Chance | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Barzel Force | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Little Mischief | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.