August 8, 2021 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Stopshoppingamy | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Field Letters | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jets a Ginnin | 1.40 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Texas Rain | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Magna | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Richie’s Palace | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Suburban Court | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Michael Collins | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Vitale | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Life Is Grand | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Star On the Map | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Straight Up Smarty | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Juju’s Specialgirl | 1.20 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Vegan Goes Best | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rare Action Attack | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hey Hey | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nice and True | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | High Hero | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Power Cry | 20.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mongol Bull | 1.80 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dive Deep | 1.60 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Boom Box | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ripe Attack | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Deep Dish | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Fudge Brownie | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | I Love to Race | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Sing Me Sweet | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tiz a Queen | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lipliner | 3.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Ozette | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Godsgift | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Timingiseverything | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Easter Music | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Splash for Gold | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Shanghai Point | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Offlee Fun | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Greeleys Ice | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Crankshaft | 3.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fort Ridge | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Better Think Twice | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Battle Scars | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pharoah Cat | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Clyde’s Green Go | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Storm’s Reflection | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Inside the Circle | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Artie and Jessie | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cold Birdie | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Alpine Ghost | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Talktoeachother | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lascari (GB) | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Cowboys Feather | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.