Sports from the Basement

Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, August 7, 2021

August 7, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 My Final Trick 4.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Touch of Rouge 8.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Redhair N Freckles 2.00 4 7-1
7 7 Down to Earth 6.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Keyed Up 8.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Jill 3.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Flat Out Fabulous 10.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Enhanced Finance 20.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Hidden Identity 6.00 3 6-1
7 7 Monastery Lane 4.50 3.2 6-1
4 4 Livin in the Six 2.50 3.2 6-1
6 6 Muchacha 3.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Souper Pecan 3.50 4.4 8-1
5 5 Thatsmykindanight 10.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Winyah Bay 15.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 La Croix Valmer 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Georgian Bay S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Artful Ballerina 4.50 2.3 4-1
3 3 Benny’s Button 2.50 2.5 5-1
5 5 Sunsprite 2.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Meet the Soprano 3.50 2.7 5-1
4 4 Nero Davola 6.00 3 6-1
6 6 Humble Beginnings 20.00 4 7-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Ready Hero 3.00 1.7 3-1
8 8 Dynamite Duke 5.00 2 4-1
3 3 Stribling 6.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Victory Town 4.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Sugar Ray 10.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Newport Agent 8.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Sunrise Drive 15.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Jack 15.00 6.3 12-1
11 11 View From Egbert 20.00 7.2 14-1
4 4 Spiral Storm 20.00 8.5 16-1
12 12 Benlion 15.00 8.7 17-1
10 10 Racing in the Rain 20.00 9.3 18-1
13 13 Karakontie Pat 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Know How (GB) 3.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Rakasa 4.00 2 4-1
8 8 Raven Echo 6.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Ol’ Blondie 10.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Silenzio 5.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 No More Fences 10.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Gold Forester 8.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Cora 10.00 5.1 10-1
11 11 Mi Tormenta 15.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Pesaro 20.00 6.6 12-1
10 10 Wicked Miah 20.00 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Essential Bella 3.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 American Gamble 4.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Dreams and Schemes 6.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Gormley Girl 8.00 3.6 7-1
12 12 T’pring 10.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Devil in Her Heart 8.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Silent Resent 10.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Thanks Laura 12.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Sneaky Rebel 12.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Luz de La Luna 15.00 6.6 12-1
1 1 Pearlbdancing 20.00 7.8 15-1
11 11 Sassy Martini 20.00 8.6 16-1
13 13 Call Me Kitty 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Burning Man 2.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 Lion Kingdom 4.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Giant Critic 3.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Veloce 6.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Lucas n’ Lori 8.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Final Strike 10.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Detroit Steel (IRE) 12.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Matinee 15.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Beyond Mybudget 2.50 1.4 3-1
1 1 Pilot Episode 3.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Imagery 3.50 2.3 4-1
4 4 Twirling Faith 6.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Hai Bobbi 8.00 3.4 7-1
3 3 State Crown 15.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Piquet 15.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Owen’s Tour Guide 10.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Lake Huron S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Forest Survivor 1.60 1.8 3-1
5 4 All Canadian 4.00 2.4 5-1
6 5 Dragon’s Brew 2.00 2.4 5-1
4 3 Galvaston 6.00 3.2 6-1
3 2 Jocularity 15.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Red Maple 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Reign by Rein 8.00 2.4 5-1
5 4 Seamialaugh 2.00 2.5 5-1
4 3 Richies Noble Girl 3.50 2.6 5-1
3 2 Linda Loves Lace 3.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Avies Tale of Mesa 12.00 SCRATCH
7 6 High Society Girl 6.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Miss Bobbit 10.00 4.2 8-1
8 7 Tara Dawn 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 8 Post to Post 3.00 2.3 4-1
10 7 Crumlin Time 6.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Desert Poem 4.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Mizzona 4.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Stormy Summer 8.00 3.8 7-1
8 5 Finest Jewel 10.00 5 9-1
1 1 Crumlin Queen 15.00 6.6 12-1
2 2 Sothatsthewayitis 20.00 7.6 14-1
9 6 Express Banking 20.00 8.2 15-1
6 6 Finding Perfection 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Canadian Magic 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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