August 7, 2021 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Golden Lassie | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hello Gracie | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Utterly Enchanting | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lambeau Lady | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Congress Hall | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Family Fortune | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Creative Alibi | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Fire in the Hole | 1.40 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Self Assured | 4.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bella Coola | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Broadway Melody | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tunnel Strike | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pounding Music | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Magical Charm | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Polish Cookie | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Incontrovertible | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Blushable | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Nondescript | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pretty Edgy | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mischiefs Model | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tam Char | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bourbon Wildcat | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Prince of Portland | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | B B Bad | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Rustys Gfivefifty | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shake Em Loose | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dontcrossfuzzy | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Cash Flowing | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Two Today | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | I’m Not Slow | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Tauber | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Fair Catch | 2.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | So Dialed In | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Justwaveandsmile | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Tale of Dixie | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Dragon Moon | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | More Thunder | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Rinne | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Marsac | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Outside the Box | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Doc Elm | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pet’s Night | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | We’re From Bristol | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Charlie Potatoes | 2.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dirty Dirty | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lookin for Justice | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Baltimore Bud | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Canherun | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Bean Pole | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lislaughlin | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Likely Choice | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Square Penny | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Zola B | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Dew Dat | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Kyosha | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Salad Days | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bullets Lady | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Perry | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Veryan | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Looks Don’t Lie | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Guapa Chica | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Diggin for Dough | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Indehere | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 5 | Cry No More | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Baptize the Boy | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Poser | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Band On Tour | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Tommy Shelby | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Meru | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Steadytillready | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Rough Sea | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Rrace Day Warrior | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Twitty City | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Venezuela | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bobby Two Times | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jammin Still | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Swing Your Sword | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.