Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, August 7, 2021

August 7, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 6 Captain Ziggy 3.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Campeador 4.00 3.9 7-1
3 2 Congrats Again 5.00 4.8 9-1
11 9 He Ain’t No Saint 3.50 4.9 9-1
7 5 Lord Darnley 6.00 5.5 10-1
10 8 Bye Bye David 12.00 6.4 12-1
13 11 Divine Control 10.00 6.6 12-1
14 12 Duel Fuel 12.00 6.9 13-1
9 7 M V Speed 20.00 9 17-1
2 2 Buddy Revell 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Wrote in Stone 30.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Remendador 3.50 SCRATCH
16 16 Mulsanne Run 4.50 SCRATCH
4 3 High Press 30.00 12.3 23-1
12 10 Swipe Left 30.00 12.6 24-1
5 4 Overstated 30.00 13.1 25-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Nketiah 5.00 2.6 5-1
10 10 Little Dude 8.00 3.4 6-1
9 9 Foster Hope 4.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Berhanu 1.60 3.9 7-1
1 1 Super Edgar 15.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Cotton Jim 15.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Current Hope 4.50 5.8 11-1
6 6 Valid Exchange 20.00 7.5 14-1
7 7 Erin Go Braugh 30.00 7.7 15-1
4 4 Acaseaday 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Anna’s Dream 3.00 1.1 2-1
11 11 Veiled Prophet 4.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Spectacular Gal 6.00 2.7 5-1
10 10 Creative Girl 4.50 2.8 5-1
3 3 Brush With the Law (IRE) 5.00 3 6-1
7 7 Sneaky Cheeky 12.00 4 8-1
9 9 Easy Come Easy Go 12.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Numeric 20.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Tsayonara Slew 20.00 7.3 14-1
8 8 Miss Bluebird 20.00 7.6 14-1
5 5 Lily’s Lead 30.00 9.4 18-1
6 6 Marthamaywhovier 30.00 9.8 19-1
13 13 Muted 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 9 Bronx 4.50 2 4-1
1 1 Dr. Roger 3.50 2.8 5-1
8 7 Bonno 5.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Billy Bones 15.00 3.8 7-1
9 8 Trinni John 10.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Blame Charlie 15.00 4.6 9-1
11 10 Crooked Currency 30.00 5.4 10-1
6 5 Tintorero 30.00 6.4 12-1
7 6 Luca Drew the Ace 30.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Compass Cay 50.00 9.3 18-1
5 5 Geoscience 1.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Handicap)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Jack and Noah (FR) 2.50 2.8 5-1
8 6 Warrior’s Pride 3.50 3.3 6-1
2 1 Tiger Blood 4.50 3.3 6-1
6 4 Cajun Brother 5.00 3.8 7-1
7 5 Harry’s Ontheloose 8.00 4.2 8-1
10 8 Yes I Am Free 6.00 4.5 8-1
9 7 Romario 20.00 6.9 13-1
3 2 Star Weaver 30.00 8.6 16-1
1 1 Jackson 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Double Crown 3.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Man of Honor 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Acting Lucky 2.50 3.1 6-1
2 2 Lyrical 3.50 3.2 6-1
10 10 Happy Interest 6.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 Velvet Isle 4.50 3.9 7-1
8 8 Bahamian Beauty 12.00 5.2 10-1
11 11 Queen Abarrio 12.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Nenita 15.00 7.1 14-1
12 12 Tap Tap Birdie 15.00 7.4 14-1
4 4 Lights On Girl 15.00 7.6 14-1
3 3 Majic Flash 20.00 8.8 17-1
1 1 Gun Hill Girl 20.00 10 19-1
13 13 Astromelia 12.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Pretzel 4.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Noble Maria 30.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Eskimo’s Boss 3.50 2.2 4-1
1 1 Tammany 8.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 All Quality 5.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Lookinlikeaqueen 4.50 3.8 7-1
4 4 Yolanda’s Pride 4.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Smart Spending 6.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Heiressindy 15.00 7.4 14-1
8 8 Starry Hope 20.00 8.1 15-1
10 9 Wonder Blondy 15.00 8.8 17-1
9 9 Kahiko 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Skippylongstocking 4.00 2.1 4-1
12 11 Chancellor Bay 3.50 2.3 4-1
3 2 Kuhl Star 4.50 2.5 5-1
5 4 Fast N Steady 6.00 3.1 6-1
4 3 Summer Five 8.00 3.7 7-1
11 10 Ride On Bye 12.00 4.9 9-1
9 8 Cupid’s Dude 15.00 6.4 12-1
10 9 Strike Hard 15.00 7 13-1
2 1 Morgan Point 12.00 7.1 13-1
7 6 Sun Viking 20.00 8.5 16-1
8 7 Corporate Affair 20.00 8.6 16-1
1 1 Mr Mac Quhae 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Freedom Matters 4.50 3.8 7-1
12 10 Tune In 3.50 4.3 8-1
11 9 Financial System 4.00 4.5 9-1
5 4 Louder Than Bombs 8.00 5.6 11-1
6 5 Kaufy Bean 8.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 The Virginian 8.00 6.6 13-1
7 6 Robintakincharge 12.00 7.9 15-1
10 8 Yamato 12.00 9 17-1
2 2 Seven Channels 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Oh Steve 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Hard Lighting 4.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Ludington 3.50 SCRATCH
16 16 Blessed Journey 6.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Surprise Factor 15.00 10.3 19-1
13 11 New Year 20.00 12.3 23-1
8 7 Shananies Paynter 20.00 12.6 24-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Azalea S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Shea D Summer 2.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Competitive Speed 2.50 2.1 4-1
2 2 Kamar Taj 4.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Coach Jer’s Joy 6.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Restofthestory 4.50 3.1 6-1
1 1 Princess Secret 10.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 4 Starry Jaylen 8.00 2.3 4-1
7 5 Driving Wind 4.50 3.1 6-1
9 7 Sweet Penelope 3.50 3.2 6-1
10 8 Belle’s Kingdom 4.00 3.6 7-1
5 3 Julie Bird (IRE) 5.00 3.7 7-1
15 11 Lady Paynter 10.00 3.8 7-1
4 2 Vivi’s Dream’s 6.00 4.7 9-1
8 6 My Turning Pointe 20.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Senorita Salsa 15.00 5.8 11-1
14 10 Truly Ambitious 20.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Syllabus 30.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Defendant 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Jaent 50.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Emperor’s Song 6.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Undercover Outlaw 20.00 SCRATCH
11 9 She’s So Serious 50.00 10.9 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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