Sports from the Basement

Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Friday, August 6, 2021

August 6, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Knight Kingdom 2.50 3 6-1
3 3 Sundance Hit 2.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Tracking Gold 3.50 3.3 6-1
1 1 My Ladies’ Man 8.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Denmark 4.50 3.8 7-1
2 2 Frac Attack 12.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Dancing Doll 2.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Big Mistake 3.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Real Coal 4.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Sparkle Sammy 6.00 4 8-1
7 7 Nisha 8.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Gelato Amore 10.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Ever So d’Wild 20.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Take It Easy 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Samurai Fighter 2.00 2.4 4-1
6 6 Vinyasa 4.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Joy’s Solution 3.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Oxesome 4.50 4.1 8-1
5 5 Twick 8.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Petite Amie 12.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Real Chopper 10.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Out of Romance 4.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Silent and Smart 6.00 2.9 6-1
2 2 Sky of Dreams 3.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Careless Heiress 8.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Twocankeepasecret 10.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Endorphin Rush 12.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Suspicious Minds 5.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Tranquil Sky 12.00 4.7 9-1
10 10 Snow Squall 15.00 5 10-1
8 8 Victoriaville 20.00 6.7 13-1
11 11 Umneyaat 20.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Quantum Velocity 2.00 2.4 4-1
5 5 Secret Path 4.50 2.4 5-1
3 3 Self Inflicted 2.50 2.4 5-1
1 1 Shakoo Makoo 4.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Knotty by Design 10.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Daddyplaystheblues 8.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Polydeuces 15.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Race for Pinks 1.60 1.2 2-1
4 4 Liverpool Man 3.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Salty Candy 3.50 2.8 5-1
1 1 Mr Souperstitious 8.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Hit This Town 10.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Executive Holiday 10.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Cousin Rob 12.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Whizmo 20.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Magic Mountain 2.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Bullet Speed 3.50 2.5 5-1
2 2 Longandshortofit 6.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Son of My Father 2.50 3.1 6-1
1 1 Cardiff Hall 8.00 4 8-1
4 4 Sweet Little Artie 15.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Virreinato 12.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Wenjack 4.50 1.5 3-1
11 11 Samuel H 3.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 No Exit 6.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Orphan Hallie 4.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Dr. Jewel 8.00 4 8-1
10 10 I Have Hope 8.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Strong Attitude 12.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Miraculous Brew 20.00 7.1 13-1
9 9 Jr Bourbon 20.00 7.1 13-1
6 6 Paternoster 20.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 L’Etat (GER) 20.00 7.7 14-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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