August 6, 2021 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 8 | Smokey White | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sailor Speed | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7A | 6 | Not Yet Charlie | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2A | 2 | No Mi Culpa | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Barone Cesco | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Emma’s Waltz | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | King of Hollywood | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Artie’s Angel | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Materialize | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Street Hustle | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Good Skate | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Roaming Union | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Tapalist | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Malibu Pro | 1.60 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Ekhtibaar | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Crea’s Bklyn Law | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Skipin On Orchard | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hawaiian Noises | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dunph | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Single Soul (GB) | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Coastana | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Creative Cairo | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Setting the Mood | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Longpants Required | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Laynlomakndough | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2A | 2 | Bayshore Foxes | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8A | 8 | Stop Shoppin Tammy | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Answer In | 1.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wicked Trick | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Endorsed | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jalen Journey | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pulsate | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rock On Luke | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4A | 4 | School of Thought | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3A | 3 | Commandandcontrol | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Hot Anna | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Empty Net | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Airborne Gal | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Violent Vixen | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Superbloodwolfmoon | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Clementine | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Thegoddessofsnakes | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | No Word | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Value Engineering | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | City Man | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7A | 6 | Forty Under | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Conviction Trade | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Winning Factor | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Cavalry Charge | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Calibrator | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 13B | 12 | Smile Bryan | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mo Ready | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Beacon Hill | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sanctuary City | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14B | 14 | Lost in Rome | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Danny California | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16A | 16 | Empty Tomb | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Gunnison | 30.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – National Museum Of Racing Hall Of Fame S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Public Sector (GB) | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Original | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Next | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Easy Time | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Wolfie’s Dynaghost | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Annex | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | In Effect | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ranger Fox | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Alydar S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Night Ops | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jesus’ Team | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Math Wizard | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Art Collector | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Prioritize | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bourbon War | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Core Beliefs | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Limonite | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Troy S. Presented By Horse Racing Ireland
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 8 | Lazuli (IRE) | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Imprimis | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Bound for Nowhere | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chewing Gum | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fast Boat | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Gear Jockey | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Carotari | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Front Run the Fed | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Classy John | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Backtohisroots | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Chateau | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Casa Creed | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Digital Software | 1.40 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Run Dilly Run | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | The Big Grey | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Partner’s Hope | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bail Out | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jimmy Dan | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | The Angry Man | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Reiner | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sea City | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | High Print | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Complicate | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Theregoesmymiracle | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Bold Victory | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.