Sports from the Basement

Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, August 5, 2021

August 5, 2021 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Lamplighter Jack 2.50 2.2 4-1
5 4 Roaring River 3.50 3.1 6-1
3 2 Bold Quest 6.00 4 7-1
6 5 My Candy Biz 8.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Tiz Valentino Daze 8.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Fleetridge 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Midnight Chrome 2.00 1 2-1
8 8 Mr. Cunningham 3.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Defend 4.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Sweet Dreams Babe 8.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Sapio Social 8.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Under the Radar 8.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Thatza Alpha 15.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Kick Rocks Kid 10.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 I Love You 3.50 2.8 5-1
6 3 Suiko 4.50 3.8 7-1
8 5 Witch 10.00 4.2 8-1
10 6 Bella Pierina 8.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Shifra Magician 8.00 5.3 10-1
7 4 Alin Azul 20.00 9 17-1
2 2 Lorden’s Love 1.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Champagne Horizon 2.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Lake Parima 6.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Sweet Home Dixie 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Thurman Merman 2.50 2.5 5-1
6 5 Lawn Boy (GB) 6.00 3.8 7-1
3 2 Seven Plus Seven 10.00 4.9 9-1
8 6 Sarasota Boy 15.00 6.1 12-1
1 1 C B Bodemester 20.00 6.7 13-1
5 4 Sincere Man 20.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Bourbon and Ice 1.80 SCRATCH
7 7 Capitan Fofo 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Izzybella 5.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Talks in Her Sleep 4.50 3.1 6-1
14 11 Sprite’s Lady 8.00 3.6 7-1
8 7 Mahkato 3.50 4 8-1
9 8 Maliceinthepalace 8.00 6 11-1
11 10 Glossamer 10.00 6.1 12-1
6 5 Hello Rosie Say 12.00 6.6 12-1
10 9 Downtown Katie 10.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Brycens Gold 12.00 8.3 16-1
7 6 Rooney 15.00 9.2 17-1
5 5 World Party 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Prinecess Doir 8.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Pasatime 10.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Ocean Delight 30.00 12.7 24-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Axxerator 2.50 1 2-1
5 4 Shot Time 3.50 2.7 5-1
2 1 Connecting 4.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Valiant Gabe 6.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Longshadow 8.00 5 9-1
1A 5 Bowie Two Step 8.00 5.4 10-1
4 3 Dirty Dawg 10.00 7.3 14-1
6 6 Hard Rock Gold 12.00 7.5 14-1
1 5 Cynergy’s Star 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Jammin Jimtown 4.50 2.8 5-1
7 6 Entertainment 6.00 3.2 6-1
9 9 Tankerville 8.00 4 8-1
1 7 Wicked Finn 5.00 4.5 8-1
3 2 Ride Em 8.00 5.9 11-1
4 3 Centerfoldprospect 12.00 8.2 16-1
8 8 Ricochet 15.00 8.2 16-1
6 5 State of Affair 15.00 8.8 17-1
5 4 T Minus Ten 20.00 8.8 17-1
11 10 Dramatized 15.00 9.9 19-1
1A 13 Omati 5.00 SCRATCH
10 10 The Predicament 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Artistic Endeavor 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Where Paradise Lay 2.00 2.6 5-1
7 5 Singlino 6.00 5.1 10-1
5 3 Last Investment 10.00 5.5 10-1
6 4 My Beau 8.00 5.7 11-1
4 2 Rileys Dude 8.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Everett’s Song 3.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Grandeur 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Crabs N Beer 3.50 1.5 3-1
2 2 Willy the Shoe 4.50 2.1 4-1
6 6 True Dakotan 5.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Five Star Phil 8.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Stacks of Silver 6.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Minecrafter 8.00 5.8 11-1
11 11 Stormy Bonnie 10.00 7.2 14-1
10 10 All for Love 12.00 7.3 14-1
8 8 Golden Avieator 10.00 7.8 15-1
3 3 Bourbon Music 12.00 8.3 16-1
4 4 Dontforgettoblink 12.00 8.8 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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Scoreboard
3rd - 1:26
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Final
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Final
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4th - 0:04
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Final
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Final
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4th - 7:04
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4th - 7:56
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3rd - 8:57
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