August 5, 2021 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Paige Runner | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sherilinda | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mongolian Window | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Secret Square | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Smiling Ann | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Reds Sacred Appeal | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Promnesia | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Red Nova | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Respect the Hustle | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mahi Mahi | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Viking Plunder | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mountain Spirit | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tom’s Surprise | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Indy Jones | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Big Bad Gary | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Meadway | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Park Avenue | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lisette | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Esagerare | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Angel of Freedom | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flipping Fast | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Optimas | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Assignation | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | T Bones Trick | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Jan’s Reserve | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | House Limit | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Kenzou’s Rhythm | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sayin Grace | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Satanta | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Typhoon Harry | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Whatsittoya | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Press Briefing | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Studly Perfection | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 10 | Bandeena | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Naughty Evelyn | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dual Reality | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Consider Me Gone | 3.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bossy Soul | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mamma Rama | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Brio Is Awesome | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Vanna | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Moreavino | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Portugueseprincess | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Patriot Missile | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Medusa’s Gaze | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Curious Inji | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | My Sis Cindy | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 9 | Keep Dancing | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Pawnee | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nice Ice | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Big Mama Sue | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Big Clare | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Bella D | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kleen Karma | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Swing Thoughts | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Warrior’s Moon | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sunshine Babe | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Nina En Fuego | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Big Stretch | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – California Thoroughbred Breeders’ Association S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | It’s Simple | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Carmen Miranda | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Drizella | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gianna’s Wild Cat | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | At the Spa | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ko Olina | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lion’s Lair | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Irish Wahine | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Madiha | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Algeria (IRE) | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cant Stop This Man | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Winzer | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Got Curly | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Indy | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Circumvent | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | American Great | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tiz Tact Toe | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Borkan | 10.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bender | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Cool Your Jets | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Rosenquist | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Brother Reid | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Fire Polish | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.